Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Gainsborough Trinity and Ilkeston Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Gainsborough Trinity have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Ilkeston Town have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.27 for Ilkeston Town. The models give Gainsborough Trinity a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ilkeston Town win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Gainsborough Trinity—
Ilkeston Town9º
Position
18º
1.44
PPG
0.78
44%
Win %
22%
1.56
Goals / game
0.67
1.33
Conceded / game
2.33
50%
BTTS %
58%
21%
Clean sheet %
8%
57%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gainsborough Trinity
Home (5)
—
Ilkeston Town
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.20
Goals / game
0.80
1.40
Conceded / game
2.80
25%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
38%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 38% | 100% | 67% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 38% | 67% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 13% | 33% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 63% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 83% | 92% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 42% | 20% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gainsborough Trinity | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gainsborough Trinity | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 58% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Gainsborough Trinity (H)L
Avro0–2
Avro0–2L
Cleethorpes Town0–3
Cleethorpes Town0–3L
Bury0–1
Bury0–1W
Stockton Town4–1
Stockton Town4–1W
Workington2–0
Workington2–0L
Bradford (Park Avenue)0–2
Bradford (Park Avenue)0–2Ilkeston Town (A)LWorkington1–3
Workington1–3L
Leamington1–3
Leamington1–3LBury0–7
Bury0–7D
Ashton United1–1
Ashton United1–1L
Whitby Town0–2
Whitby Town0–2W
AFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1Head to Head · 6 matches
1
Gainsborough Trinity
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
Ilkeston Town
33%
33%
Over 1.5
2/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
20/12/25Ilkeston Town
Gainsborough Trinity
0–0Ilkeston Town12/08/25Gainsborough Trinity
Ilkeston Town
0–1Gainsborough Trinity04/03/25Ilkeston Town
Gainsborough Trinity
0–0Ilkeston Town10/08/24Gainsborough Trinity
Ilkeston Town
2–2Gainsborough Trinity09/12/23Ilkeston Town
Gainsborough Trinity
0–1Ilkeston Town15/08/23Gainsborough Trinity
Ilkeston Town
4–0Gainsborough Trinity| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 |
| 2 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Redcar Athletic | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 |
| 5 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Bury | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 16 |
| 7 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
| 8 | Workington | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 | Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Rylands | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 | Whitby Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Hyde United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | AFC Emley | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |  Lancaster City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Bamber Bridge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Ilkeston Town | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
| 19 |  Leek Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Stockton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Gainsborough Trinity- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Ilkeston Town- ●Ilkeston Town have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Ilkeston Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Gainsborough TrinityLHAvro0–2
Avro0–2LHCleethorpes Town0–3
Cleethorpes Town0–3WAAshton United2–1
Ashton United2–1DAQuorn2–2
Quorn2–2LHBury0–1
Bury0–1WHStockton Town4–1
Stockton Town4–1–HCurzon Ashton03/10
Curzon Ashton03/10–AWhitby Town06/10
Whitby Town06/10–AAFC Emley10/10
AFC Emley10/10Ilkeston TownLAWorkington1–3
Workington1–3LHQuorn0–2
Quorn0–2LABury0–7
Bury0–7DAAshton United1–1
Ashton United1–1LHCleethorpes Town0–3
Cleethorpes Town0–3LHWarrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2–HRylands29/09
Rylands29/09–ALancaster City03/10
Lancaster City03/10–HGuiseley AFC06/10
Guiseley AFC06/10Top Scorers
Gainsborough TrinityO. Ashton3 ⚽
B. Blythe2 ⚽
F. Preston2 ⚽
L. Butroid2 ⚽
T. Williams2 ⚽
J. Clarke1 ⚽
Ilkeston TownA. Dwyer4 ⚽
A. Hunter2 ⚽
L. Joyce1 ⚽
P. Johnson1 ⚽
S. Newell1 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
Cards Given
Gainsborough TrinityIlkeston TownL. Joyce1 🟨