Lancaster City vs Stockton Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Lancaster City and Stockton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Lancaster City have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Stockton Town have won 8% of their 12 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Lancaster City and 1.41 for Stockton Town. The models give Lancaster City a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Stockton Town win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Stockton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 71% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 29% | 40% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Stockton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 86% | 60% | 92% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 71% | 40% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 14% | 40% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 14% | 40% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lancaster City | Stockton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS | 58% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lancaster City | Stockton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 | |
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 | |
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Lancaster City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●60% of Lancaster City's points have been earned away.
- ●Stockton Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Stockton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Stockton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Stockton Town have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Stockton Town's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Stockton Town's goals conceded were conceded away.