Workington vs Whitby Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Workington and Whitby Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Workington have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Whitby Town have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 2.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.03 for Workington and 1.68 for Whitby Town. The models give Workington a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Whitby Town win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Workington—
Whitby Town8º
Position
12º
1.78
PPG
1.33
56%
Win %
44%
1.89
Goals / game
1.56
1.67
Conceded / game
2.67
55%
BTTS %
55%
18%
Clean sheet %
9%
73%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Workington
Home (5)
—
Whitby Town
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.80
60%
Win %
60%
2.20
Goals / game
2.20
1.60
Conceded / game
2.60
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Workington | Home | Away | Whitby Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 83% | 60% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 83% | 40% | 55% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 45% | 67% | 20% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 17% | 40% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Workington | Home | Away | Whitby Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 91% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 73% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 45% | 60% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 9% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Workington | Whitby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 45% |
| BTTS | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Workington | Whitby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 64% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 73% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 9% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Workington (H)W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1W
Marske United3–0
Marske United3–0W
Leek Town3–2
Leek Town3–2W
Rylands3–2
Rylands3–2D
Guiseley AFC2–2
Guiseley AFC2–2L
Redcar Athletic0–1
Redcar Athletic0–1Whitby Town (A)W
Hyde United3–1
Hyde United3–1W
Quorn6–3
Quorn6–3L
Cleethorpes Town0–6
Cleethorpes Town0–6L
Ashton United0–2
Ashton United0–2WLeek Town2–1
Leek Town2–1D
Bridlington Town2–2
Bridlington Town2–2Head to Head · 8 matches
2
Workington
25%
3
Draws
38%
3
Whitby Town
38%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
63%
Over 2.5
5/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
63%
BTTS
5/8
10/01/26Workington
Whitby Town
0–0Workington09/08/25Whitby Town
Workington
1–2Whitby Town25/01/25Workington
Whitby Town
1–3Workington21/09/24Whitby Town
Workington
3–1Whitby Town27/01/24Whitby Town
Workington
0–0Whitby Town25/11/23Workington
Whitby Town
1–1Workington29/10/16Workington
Whitby Town
4–3Workington31/10/15Whitby Town
Workington
0–3Whitby Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 |
| 2 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 |
| 5 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 16 |
| 7 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
| 8 | Workington | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | Rylands | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 | Whitby Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 |  AFC Emley | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |  Lancaster City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Bamber Bridge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 | Ilkeston Town | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stockton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Workington- ●Workington have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Workington have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Workington have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Workington have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●65% of Workington's goals have been scored at home.
Whitby Town- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Whitby Town have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Whitby Town's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Whitby Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Whitby Town have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
WorkingtonWHIlkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1WALancaster City3–0
Lancaster City3–0WHLeek Town3–2
Leek Town3–2WHRylands3–2
Rylands3–2WAUnited of Manchester2–1
United of Manchester2–1LAAvro1–4
Avro1–4–AAFC Emley29/09
AFC Emley29/09–HCleethorpes Town03/10
Cleethorpes Town03/10–AWarrington Town06/10
Warrington Town06/10Whitby TownWAHyde United3–1
Hyde United3–1LHAlfreton Town1–4
Alfreton Town1–4WAQuorn6–3
Quorn6–3LACleethorpes Town0–6
Cleethorpes Town0–6LHWarrington Town0–5
Warrington Town0–5LAAshton United0–2
Ashton United0–2–AUnited of Manchester03/10
United of Manchester03/10–HGainsborough Trinity06/10
Gainsborough Trinity06/10–HBamber Bridge10/10
Bamber Bridge10/10Top Scorers
WorkingtonL. Hunter7 ⚽
B. Dickenson2 ⚽
D. Hopper2 ⚽
J. J. Palmer1 ⚽
K. Nugent1 ⚽
B. Carroll1 ⚽
Whitby TownC. Hickman6 ⚽
S. Rose5 ⚽
J. Phuthi3 ⚽
S. Hewitt1 ⚽
Cards Given
WorkingtonK. Nugent2 🟨
Whitby TownS. Hewitt2 🟨