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Alfreton Town vs Warrington TownNon League Premier - Northern

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Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
11º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
Warrington Town
Warrington Town
5º · 1.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Alfreton Town and Warrington Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Alfreton Town have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Warrington Town have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 19%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Alfreton Town and 1.59 for Warrington Town. The models give Alfreton Town a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Warrington Town win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Alfreton Town
Warrington Town
11º
Position
1.33
PPG
1.89
44%
Win %
56%
1.67
Goals / game
2.00
1.11
Conceded / game
1.56
31%
BTTS %
69%
19%
Clean sheet %
19%
56%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Alfreton Town
Home (4)
Warrington Town
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
2.40
75%
Win %
80%
2.50
Goals / game
2.40
0.75
Conceded / game
1.40
27%
BTTS %
86%
27%
Clean sheet %
14%
64%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Alfreton TownHomeAwayWarrington TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored44%45%40%88%78%100%
Over 1.5 Scored25%27%20%63%56%71%
Over 2.5 Scored19%18%20%19%22%14%
Failed To Score56%55%60%13%22%0%

Goals Conceded

Alfreton TownHomeAwayWarrington TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded81%73%100%81%78%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded50%55%40%56%67%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%18%0%19%22%14%
Clean Sheets19%27%0%19%22%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Alfreton TownWarrington Town
Over 0.594%100%
Over 1.575%100%
Over 2.556%88%
Over 3.525%50%
Over 4.513%19%
BTTS31%69%
BTTS & Win13%19%
BTTS & Draw0%25%
BTTS & Over 2.531%63%
BTTS No & Over 2.525%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Alfreton TownWarrington Town
Win 1st Half38%31%
Draw 1st Half25%38%
Loss 1st Half38%31%
Scored 1st Half44%69%
Conceded 1st Half44%56%
Win 2nd Half19%50%
Draw 2nd Half25%25%
Loss 2nd Half56%25%
Scored 2nd Half25%81%
Conceded 2nd Half69%50%
Over 0.5 HT81%88%
Over 1.5 HT38%56%

Recent Venue Form

Alfreton Town (H)
LStratford Town02
LRylands12
WHyde United40
WAvro30
WGainsborough Trinity21
LMansfield Town04
Warrington Town (A)
LUnited of Manchester14
DShildon AFC22
WLeek Town21
WWhitby Town50
WIlkeston Town21
WGuiseley AFC21

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Alfreton Town
25%
3
Draws
75%
0
Warrington Town
0%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
01/03/25
Alfreton Town
22
Warrington Town
09/11/24
Warrington Town
01
Alfreton Town
13/01/24
Warrington Town
22
Alfreton Town
07/10/23
Alfreton Town
11
Warrington Town
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cleethorpes Town9711+1922
2Avro9711+1222
3Redcar Athletic9630+1221
4Guiseley AFC9612+1219
5Warrington Town9522+417
6Bury9513+1116
7Curzon Ashton9513+816
8Workington9513+216
9Gainsborough Trinity9414+213
10Rylands9414-113
11Alfreton Town9405+512
12Whitby Town9405-1012
13Ashton United9324+111
14Hyde United9324-711
15AFC Emley9243-710
16Lancaster City9315-810
17Bamber Bridge9234-109
18Ilkeston Town9216-157
19Leek Town9135-26
20Quorn9135-116
21United of Manchester9126-75
22Stockton Town9126-105

Team Insights

Alfreton Town
  • Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • Alfreton Town have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • 67% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
  • 70% of Alfreton Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • 75% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Warrington Town
  • Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • Warrington Town have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • Warrington Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • 67% of Warrington Town's goals have been scored away.
  • 71% of Warrington Town's points have been earned away.
LABamber Bridge17º01
WAWhitby Town12º41
LHRylands10º12
WHHyde United14º40
LAStockton Town22º02
WHAvro2º30
LACurzon Ashton7º01
WALeek Town19º21
DHAFC Emley15º22
LHCurzon Ashton7º04
WAWhitby Town12º50
WAIlkeston Town18º21
WHHyde United14º30

Season Schedule

Alfreton Town
LABamber Bridge01
WAWhitby Town41
LHRylands12
WHHyde United40
LAStockton Town02
LACleethorpes Town12
ARedcar Athletic03/10
HUnited of Manchester06/10
HBury10/10
Warrington Town
LAUnited of Manchester14
WALeek Town21
DHAFC Emley22
LHCurzon Ashton04
WAWhitby Town50
WAIlkeston Town21
AAshton United03/10
HWorkington06/10
HLancaster City10/10

Top Scorers

Alfreton Town
S. Ligendza5
D. Youmbi4
J. Kruszynski3
S. R. Parker2
C. Finney1
D. Odunaiya1
Warrington Town
R. Daly5
E. Bange3
L. Earl3
J. Goodwin2
S. Butler2
Z. Sadiq2

Cards Given

Alfreton Town
K. Williams2 🟨
Warrington Town
R. Daly2 🟨