Ashton United vs Redcar Athletic — Non League Premier - Northern
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Ashton United and Redcar Athletic meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Ashton United have recorded 5 wins from 17 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Redcar Athletic have won 58% of their 19 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Ashton United and 1.67 for Redcar Athletic. The models give Ashton United a 28% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Redcar Athletic win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ashton United | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 83% | 64% | 84% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 33% | 45% | 42% | 45% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 17% | 18% | 32% | 36% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 17% | 36% | 16% | 27% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Ashton United | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 83% | 91% | 53% | 64% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 33% | 55% | 32% | 45% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 17% | 9% | 47% | 36% | 63% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ashton United | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 26% |
| BTTS | 59% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ashton United | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 28 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 25 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 22 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 | |
| 8 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | +4 | 18 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 17 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 20 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -15 | 10 | |
| 21 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -24 | 7 | |
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.