England · Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 16

AFC Emley

19º · 0.83 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h

–

Lancaster City

12º · 1.31 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h

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AFC Emley and Lancaster City meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 24 October 2026. AFC Emley have recorded 3 wins from 18 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Lancaster City have won 33% of their 18 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for AFC Emley and 1.75 for Lancaster City. The models give AFC Emley a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lancaster City win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.

Season Statistics

AFC Emley

—

Lancaster City

19º

Position

12º

0.83

PPG

1.31

17%

Win %

38%

0.92

Goals / game

1.38

2.00

Conceded / game

2.00

56%

BTTS %

67%

17%

Clean sheet %

17%

61%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

AFC Emley

Home (6)

—

Lancaster City

Away (7)

0.67

PPG

1.43

17%

Win %

43%

1.00

Goals / game

1.71

2.17

Conceded / game

2.29

78%

BTTS %

70%

Clean sheet %

20%

67%

Over 2.5 %

70%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	AFC Emley	Home	Away	Lancaster City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	61%	78%	44%	83%	75%	90%
Over 1.5 Scored	22%	11%	33%	44%	38%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	6%	0%	10%
Failed To Score	39%	22%	56%	17%	25%	10%

Goals Conceded

	AFC Emley	Home	Away	Lancaster City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	83%	100%	67%	83%	88%	80%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	56%	44%	56%	63%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	33%	33%	33%	28%	13%	40%
Clean Sheets	17%	0%	33%	17%	13%	20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	AFC Emley	Lancaster City
Over 0.5	89%	100%
Over 1.5	83%	83%
Over 2.5	61%	67%
Over 3.5	39%	39%
Over 4.5	11%	17%
BTTS	56%	67%
BTTS & Win	11%	17%
BTTS & Draw	22%	22%
BTTS & Over 2.5	39%	61%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	22%	6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	AFC Emley	Lancaster City
Win 1st Half	11%	28%
Draw 1st Half	56%	44%
Loss 1st Half	33%	28%
Scored 1st Half	28%	61%
Conceded 1st Half	50%	61%
Win 2nd Half	17%	22%
Draw 2nd Half	33%	28%
Loss 2nd Half	50%	50%
Scored 2nd Half	44%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	61%
Over 0.5 HT	61%	89%
Over 1.5 HT	50%	39%

Recent Venue Form

AFC Emley (H)

Gainsborough Trinity1–2

Workington1–3

Spennymoor Town0–4

Bishop Auckland1–1

Guiseley AFC0–4

Ashton United1–1

Lancaster City (A)

Warrington Town2–2

Avro3–5

Whitby Town2–1

Cleethorpes Town1–5

Bradford (Park Avenue)0–1

Tadcaster Albion2–0

Non League Premier - Northern

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	+23	30
2	Redcar Athletic	13	8	4	1	+17	28
3	Guiseley AFC	12	8	1	3	+14	25
4	Avro	11	8	1	2	+13	25
5	Curzon Ashton	11	7	1	3	+12	22
6	Workington	13	6	3	4	+1	21
7	Rylands	13	6	2	5	0	20
8	Bury	11	6	1	4	+11	19
9	Gainsborough Trinity	11	6	1	4	+7	19
10	Warrington Town	11	5	4	2	+4	19
11	Alfreton Town	13	6	0	7	+4	18
12	Lancaster City	13	5	2	6	-8	17
13	Hyde United	13	4	2	7	-10	14
14	Ashton United	11	3	4	4	+1	13
15	Quorn	12	3	4	5	-6	13
16	Whitby Town	12	4	1	7	-15	13
17	Stockton Town	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	-1	11
19	AFC Emley	12	2	4	6	-13	10
20	Bamber Bridge	12	2	4	6	-15	10
21	Ilkeston Town	13	2	1	10	-24	7
22	United of Manchester	11	1	3	7	-8	6

Team Insights

AFC Emley

●AFC Emley have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
●AFC Emley have lost their last 5 matches.
●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
●AFC Emley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
●AFC Emley have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
●AFC Emley have lost their last 3 home matches.
●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
●AFC Emley have lost their last 2 away matches.
●AFC Emley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
●AFC Emley have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
●60% of AFC Emley's points have been earned away.

Lancaster City

●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
●Lancaster City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
●Lancaster City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
●67% of Lancaster City's goals have been scored away.