Workington vs Alfreton Town — Non League Premier - Northern
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Workington and Alfreton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Workington have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Alfreton Town have won 32% of their 22 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Workington and 1.28 for Alfreton Town. The models give Workington a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alfreton Town win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Workington | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 89% | 67% | 55% | 60% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 67% | 44% | 27% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 56% | 22% | 14% | 13% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 11% | 33% | 45% | 40% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Workington | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 89% | 89% | 73% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 56% | 67% | 45% | 47% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 33% | 18% | 20% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 11% | 11% | 27% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Workington | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 14% |
| BTTS | 67% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 61% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Workington | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 20 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 19 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 16 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 14 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 | |
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Workington have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Workington have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Workington have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.