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Workington vs Alfreton Town — Non League Premier - Northern

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Workington
Workington
9º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
vs
–
–
Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
12º · 1.36 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
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Workington and Alfreton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Workington have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Alfreton Town have won 32% of their 22 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Workington and 1.28 for Alfreton Town. The models give Workington a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alfreton Town win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Workington
—
Alfreton Town
9º
Position
12º
1.50
PPG
1.36
43%
Win %
43%
1.71
Goals / game
1.43
1.71
Conceded / game
1.14
67%
BTTS %
36%
11%
Clean sheet %
27%
78%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Workington
Home (7)
—
Alfreton Town
Away (7)
1.57
PPG
0.57
43%
Win %
14%
1.86
Goals / game
0.86
1.57
Conceded / game
1.43
78%
BTTS %
43%
11%
Clean sheet %
14%
78%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

WorkingtonHomeAwayAlfreton TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored78%89%67%55%60%43%
Over 1.5 Scored56%67%44%27%33%14%
Over 2.5 Scored39%56%22%14%13%14%
Failed To Score22%11%33%45%40%57%

Goals Conceded

WorkingtonHomeAwayAlfreton TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded89%89%89%73%67%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded61%56%67%45%47%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded17%0%33%18%20%14%
Clean Sheets11%11%11%27%33%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

WorkingtonAlfreton Town
Over 0.5100%91%
Over 1.594%68%
Over 2.578%55%
Over 3.550%27%
Over 4.528%14%
BTTS67%36%
BTTS & Win33%14%
BTTS & Draw17%0%
BTTS & Over 2.561%36%
BTTS No & Over 2.517%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

WorkingtonAlfreton Town
Win 1st Half28%36%
Draw 1st Half28%27%
Loss 1st Half44%36%
Scored 1st Half44%45%
Conceded 1st Half50%41%
Win 2nd Half44%18%
Draw 2nd Half28%36%
Loss 2nd Half28%45%
Scored 2nd Half67%36%
Conceded 2nd Half67%64%
Over 0.5 HT78%77%
Over 1.5 HT33%32%

Recent Venue Form

Workington (H)
LWhitby Town1–2
DCleethorpes Town1–1
WBlyth Spartans4–2
WIlkeston Town3–1
WMarske United3–0
WLeek Town3–2
Alfreton Town (A)
DAshton United0–0
LRedcar Athletic1–3
LBamber Bridge0–1
WWhitby Town4–1
LStockton Town0–2
LCleethorpes Town1–2
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic14941+1931
2Cleethorpes Town13931+2330
3Guiseley AFC12813+1425
4Avro12813+1125
5Rylands14725+423
6Gainsborough Trinity12714+922
7Curzon Ashton12714+822
8Warrington Town12642+522
9Workington14635021
10Lancaster City14626-720
11Bury11614+1119
12Alfreton Town14617+419
13Whitby Town13517-1416
14Hyde United14437-1015
15Ashton United12354+114
16Quorn13355-614
17Stockton Town14338-812
18Leek Town12255-111
19AFC Emley13256-1311
20Bamber Bridge13247-1610
21United of Manchester12147-87
22Ilkeston Town142111-267

Team Insights

Workington
  • ●Workington have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Workington have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Workington have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Alfreton Town
  • ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Alfreton Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●70% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●79% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
LHWhitby Town13º1–2
LAQuorn16º0–3
DAWarrington Town8º2–2
WAAFC Emley19º3–1
LABury1–5
WHIlkeston Town22º3–1
WALancaster City10º3–0
DAAshton United15º0–0
LHBury11º2–3
LARedcar Athletic1º1–3
WHGuiseley AFC3º1–0
LABamber Bridge20º0–1
WAWhitby Town13º4–1
LHRylands5º1–2

Season Schedule

Workington
LHWhitby Town1–2
LAQuorn0–3
DAWarrington Town2–2
DHCleethorpes Town1–1
WAAFC Emley3–1
WHIlkeston Town3–1
–ABamber Bridge17/10
–ABury31/10
–HAshton United07/11
Alfreton Town
DAAshton United0–0
LHBury2–3
WHUnited of Manchester1–0
LARedcar Athletic1–3
WHGuiseley AFC1–0
LABamber Bridge0–1
–HWarrington Town17/10
–HAFC Emley31/10
–AQuorn06/11

Top Scorers

Workington
L. Hunter9 ⚽
B. Dickenson4 ⚽
B. Carroll2 ⚽
D. Hopper2 ⚽
J. J. Palmer2 ⚽
M. Douglas1 ⚽
Alfreton Town
S. Ligendza6 ⚽
D. Youmbi4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
D. Odunaiya3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
L. Salmon1 ⚽

Cards Given

Workington
K. Nugent2 🟨
A. Mitchell1 🟨
Alfreton Town
K. Williams2 🟨