Alfreton Town vs AFC Emley — Non League Premier - Northern
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Alfreton Town and AFC Emley meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Alfreton Town have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. AFC Emley have won 17% of their 18 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Alfreton Town and 1.14 for AFC Emley. The models give Alfreton Town a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an AFC Emley win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | AFC Emley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 60% | 50% | 61% | 78% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 17% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 13% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 40% | 50% | 39% | 22% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | AFC Emley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 67% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 47% | 50% | 50% | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alfreton Town | AFC Emley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alfreton Town | AFC Emley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 28 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 25 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 22 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 | |
| 8 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | +4 | 18 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 17 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 13 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 20 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -15 | 10 | |
| 21 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -24 | 7 | |
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●AFC Emley have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●AFC Emley have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●AFC Emley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●AFC Emley have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●60% of AFC Emley's points have been earned away.