MatchPulse

Bury vs Workington — Non League Premier - Northern

← Back
England · Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 17
Bury
Bury
11º · 1.73 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Workington
Workington
9º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 17d 20h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Bury and Workington meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Bury have recorded 12 wins from 19 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.58 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Workington have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.23 for Bury and 1.25 for Workington. The models give Bury a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Workington win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Bury
—
Workington
11º
Position
9º
1.73
PPG
1.50
55%
Win %
43%
2.00
Goals / game
1.71
1.00
Conceded / game
1.71
47%
BTTS %
67%
37%
Clean sheet %
11%
68%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Bury
Home (5)
—
Workington
Away (7)
2.40
PPG
1.43
80%
Win %
43%
3.00
Goals / game
1.57
0.60
Conceded / game
1.86
45%
BTTS %
56%
45%
Clean sheet %
11%
82%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

BuryHomeAwayWorkingtonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%91%63%78%89%67%
Over 1.5 Scored63%82%38%56%67%44%
Over 2.5 Scored47%73%13%39%56%22%
Failed To Score21%9%38%22%11%33%

Goals Conceded

BuryHomeAwayWorkingtonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded63%55%75%89%89%89%
Over 1.5 Conceded26%18%38%61%56%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%9%13%17%0%33%
Clean Sheets37%45%25%11%11%11%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BuryWorkington
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.568%94%
Over 2.568%78%
Over 3.553%50%
Over 4.537%28%
BTTS47%67%
BTTS & Win32%33%
BTTS & Draw5%17%
BTTS & Over 2.547%61%
BTTS No & Over 2.521%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BuryWorkington
Win 1st Half50%28%
Draw 1st Half39%28%
Loss 1st Half11%44%
Scored 1st Half72%44%
Conceded 1st Half39%50%
Win 2nd Half39%44%
Draw 2nd Half33%28%
Loss 2nd Half28%28%
Scored 2nd Half61%67%
Conceded 2nd Half44%67%
Over 0.5 HT78%78%
Over 1.5 HT50%33%

Recent Venue Form

Bury (H)
WBromsgrove Sporting2–1
DGainsborough Trinity3–3
WWorkington5–1
WAFC Emley4–0
WWythenshawe Amateurs8–0
WIlkeston Town7–0
Workington (A)
LQuorn0–3
DWarrington Town2–2
WAFC Emley3–1
LBury1–5
WLancaster City3–0
WUnited of Manchester2–1

Head to Head · 1 matches

1
Bury
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Workington
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
19/09/26
Bury
5–1
Workington
Non League Premier - Northern
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic14941+1931
2Cleethorpes Town13931+2330
3Guiseley AFC12813+1425
4Avro12813+1125
5Rylands14725+423
6Gainsborough Trinity12714+922
7Curzon Ashton12714+822
8Warrington Town12642+522
9Workington14635021
10Lancaster City14626-720
11Bury11614+1119
12Alfreton Town14617+419
13Whitby Town13517-1416
14Hyde United14437-1015
15Ashton United12354+114
16Quorn13355-614
17Stockton Town14338-812
18Leek Town12255-111
19AFC Emley13256-1311
20Bamber Bridge13247-1610
21United of Manchester12147-87
22Ilkeston Town142111-267

Team Insights

Bury
  • ●Bury have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●68% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●73% of Bury's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Bury have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Bury have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Workington
  • ●Workington have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Workington have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Workington have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
BuryBury
WAAlfreton Town12º3–2
LAStockton Town17º0–1
WHBromsgrove Sporting2–1
DHGainsborough Trinity3–3
WHWorkington5–1
WHAFC Emley19º4–0
WHWythenshawe Amateurs8–0
LAHyde United14º1–2
WHIlkeston Town22º7–0
LHLancaster City10º0–1
WorkingtonWorkington
LHWhitby Town13º1–2
LAQuorn16º0–3
DAWarrington Town8º2–2
DHCleethorpes Town2º1–1
WAAFC Emley19º3–1
WHBlyth Spartans4–2
LABury1–5
WHIlkeston Town22º3–1
WHMarske United3–0
WALancaster City10º3–0

Season Schedule

Bury
WAAlfreton Town3–2
LAStockton Town0–1
WHAFC Emley4–0
LAHyde United1–2
WHIlkeston Town7–0
LHLancaster City0–1
–AQuorn20/10
–HWorkington31/10
–HAvro03/11
Workington
LHWhitby Town1–2
LAQuorn0–3
DAWarrington Town2–2
DHCleethorpes Town1–1
WAAFC Emley3–1
WHIlkeston Town3–1
–ABamber Bridge17/10
–ABury31/10
–HAshton United07/11

Top Scorers

Bury
T. Carr6 ⚽
K. Evans4 ⚽
O. Robinson3 ⚽
M. Touray3 ⚽
D. Pedro3 ⚽
L. Graham2 ⚽
Workington
L. Hunter9 ⚽
B. Dickenson4 ⚽
B. Carroll2 ⚽
D. Hopper2 ⚽
J. J. Palmer2 ⚽
M. Douglas1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bury
D. Pedro1 🟨
Workington
K. Nugent2 🟨
A. Mitchell1 🟨