Curzon Ashton vs Leek Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Curzon Ashton and Leek Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Curzon Ashton have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Leek Town have won 26% of their 19 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 84%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Curzon Ashton and 1.48 for Leek Town. The models give Curzon Ashton a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leek Town win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Curzon Ashton—
Leek Town7º
Position
18º
1.83
PPG
0.92
58%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.33
Conceded / game
2.08
63%
BTTS %
84%
31%
Clean sheet %
16%
63%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Curzon Ashton
Home (6)
—
Leek Town
Away (5)
2.17
PPG
0.60
67%
Win %
0%
1.83
Goals / game
2.00
0.83
Conceded / game
2.40
60%
BTTS %
70%
30%
Clean sheet %
30%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | Leek Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 90% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 67% | 47% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 33% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | Leek Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 70% | 67% | 84% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 30% | 50% | 47% | 56% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 33% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 30% | 33% | 16% | 0% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Curzon Ashton | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 32% |
| BTTS | 63% | 84% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 42% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Curzon Ashton | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 74% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Curzon Ashton (H)W
Hyde United2–0
Hyde United2–0W
Redcar Athletic3–1
Redcar Athletic3–1W
Stalybridge Celtic3–1
Stalybridge Celtic3–1L
Bradford (Park Avenue)1–2
Bradford (Park Avenue)1–2W
Ashton United2–0
Ashton United2–0L
Guiseley AFC1–2
Guiseley AFC1–2Leek Town (A)W
Worcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0L
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2LRedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3W
Sporting Khalsa5–0
Sporting Khalsa5–0L
Workington2–3
Workington2–3D
Avro4–4
Avro4–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 |
| 5 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 6 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 12 |  Alfreton Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Stockton Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 19 |  AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 |  Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 10 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 7 |
Team Insights
Curzon Ashton- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Curzon Ashton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Leek Town- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Curzon AshtonLARylands1–5
Rylands1–5WHHyde United2–0
Hyde United2–0WHRedcar Athletic3–1
Redcar Athletic3–1WALancaster City2–0
Lancaster City2–0WHAshton United2–0
Ashton United2–0WACleethorpes Town3–1
Cleethorpes Town3–1–AWhitby Town17/10
Whitby Town17/10–HUnited of Manchester20/10
United of Manchester20/10–AGainsborough Trinity27/10
Gainsborough Trinity27/10Leek TownDHAshton United2–2
Ashton United2–2DHRylands3–3
Rylands3–3WHHyde United2–1
Hyde United2–1LARedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3LHWarrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2LAWorkington2–3
Workington2–3–ALancaster City17/10
Lancaster City17/10–ACurzon Ashton31/10
Curzon Ashton31/10–AGuiseley AFC03/11
Guiseley AFC03/11Top Scorers
Curzon AshtonA. Curran7 ⚽
B. Holmes6 ⚽
T. Weston3 ⚽
H. Robertson2 ⚽
O. Lawal2 ⚽
W. Hayhurst1 ⚽
Leek TownJ. Griffiths6 ⚽
C. Heath4 ⚽
H. Campbell3 ⚽
A. Hurst3 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
3 ⚽
Cards Given
Curzon AshtonLeek TownA. Hurst1 🟨