United of Manchester vs Lancaster City — Non League Premier - Northern
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Broadhurst Park·Manchester·England·4,400
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United of Manchester and Lancaster City meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. United of Manchester have recorded 7 wins from 23 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Lancaster City have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.89 for United of Manchester and 1.71 for Lancaster City. The models give United of Manchester a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lancaster City win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
United of Manchester—
Lancaster City21º
Position
10º
0.58
PPG
1.43
8%
Win %
43%
1.25
Goals / game
1.36
1.92
Conceded / game
1.86
52%
BTTS %
63%
17%
Clean sheet %
21%
61%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
United of Manchester
Home (6)
—
Lancaster City
Away (7)
0.83
PPG
1.43
17%
Win %
43%
1.67
Goals / game
1.71
2.00
Conceded / game
2.29
80%
BTTS %
70%
10%
Clean sheet %
20%
70%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| United of | Home | Away | Lancaster City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 90% | 54% | 84% | 78% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 40% | 46% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 30% | 31% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 10% | 46% | 16% | 22% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| United of | Home | Away | Lancaster City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 90% | 77% | 79% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 50% | 46% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 30% | 15% | 26% | 11% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 10% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| United of | Lancaster City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 16% |
| BTTS | 52% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| United of | Lancaster City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 9% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 61% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 74% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
United of (H)D
AFC Emley1–1
AFC Emley1–1W
Ossett United4–1
Ossett United4–1W
Warrington Town4–1
Warrington Town4–1L
Avro3–4
Avro3–4L
Workington1–2
Workington1–2L
Gainsborough Trinity0–3
Gainsborough Trinity0–3Lancaster City (A)DWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2LAvro3–5
Avro3–5W
Whitby Town2–1
Whitby Town2–1L
Cleethorpes Town1–5
Cleethorpes Town1–5L
Bradford (Park Avenue)0–1
Bradford (Park Avenue)0–1W
Tadcaster Albion2–0
Tadcaster Albion2–0Head to Head · 15 matches
6
United of
40%
4
Draws
27%
5
Lancaster City
33%
53%
Over 1.5
8/15
27%
Over 2.5
4/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
20/12/25Lancaster City
United of Manchester
2–1Lancaster City12/08/25United of Manchester
Lancaster City
0–2United of Manchester08/02/25United of Manchester
Lancaster City
0–1United of Manchester12/10/24Lancaster City
United of Manchester
2–3Lancaster City27/04/24Lancaster City
United of Manchester
4–3Lancaster City11/11/23United of Manchester
Lancaster City
0–0United of Manchester11/02/23United of Manchester
Lancaster City
2–0United of Manchester22/10/22Lancaster City
United of Manchester
1–1Lancaster City08/02/22Lancaster City
United of Manchester
1–0Lancaster City12/10/21United of Manchester
Lancaster City
1–0United of Manchester20/10/20Lancaster City
United of Manchester
1–1Lancaster City30/11/19Lancaster City
United of Manchester
3–2Lancaster City03/09/19United of Manchester
Lancaster City
0–0United of Manchester27/09/14Lancaster City
United of Manchester
0–1Lancaster City01/10/11Lancaster City
United of Manchester
0–1Lancaster City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 |
| 5 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 7 |  Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 12 |  Alfreton Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 |  Hyde United | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 |  Stockton Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 |  Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 10 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 7 |
Team Insights
United of- ●United of Manchester have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of United of Manchester's goals have been scored at home.
Lancaster City- ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Lancaster City's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
United ofDHAFC Emley1–1
AFC Emley1–1DAStockton Town2–2
Stockton Town2–2LAAlfreton Town0–1
Alfreton Town0–1WHWarrington Town4–1
Warrington Town4–1LHAvro3–4
Avro3–4LARedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3–ACurzon Ashton20/10
Curzon Ashton20/10–HWhitby Town24/10
Whitby Town24/10–HQuorn27/10
Quorn27/10Lancaster CityWHStockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2LAAvro3–5
Avro3–5WHIlkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1WAWhitby Town2–1
Whitby Town2–1LHCurzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2–HLeek Town17/10
Leek Town17/10–AAFC Emley24/10
AFC Emley24/10–AUnited of Manchester31/10
United of Manchester31/10Top Scorers
United ofA. Le Fondre5 ⚽
M. Grivosti4 ⚽
J. Buckley4 ⚽
M. Donohue3 ⚽
G. Sithole1 ⚽
A. Sudworth1 ⚽
Lancaster CityS. Yawson4 ⚽
S. Bailey3 ⚽
C. Bailey3 ⚽
D. Lawson3 ⚽
J. Craig3 ⚽
S. Sanogo2 ⚽
Cards Given
United ofJ. Buckley2 🟨
Lancaster CityJ. Nolan1 🟨