Lancaster City vs Cleethorpes Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Lancaster City and Cleethorpes Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lancaster City have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Cleethorpes Town have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 0.72 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Lancaster City and 1.68 for Cleethorpes Town. The models give Lancaster City a 27% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Cleethorpes Town win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Lancaster City—
Cleethorpes Town10º
Position
2º
1.43
PPG
2.31
43%
Win %
69%
1.36
Goals / game
2.31
1.86
Conceded / game
0.54
63%
BTTS %
44%
21%
Clean sheet %
50%
63%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lancaster City
Home (7)
—
Cleethorpes Town
Away (6)
1.43
PPG
2.33
43%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
2.33
1.43
Conceded / game
0.33
56%
BTTS %
33%
22%
Clean sheet %
67%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Cleethorpes Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 78% | 90% | 89% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 10% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 22% | 10% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Cleethorpes Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 78% | 80% | 50% | 58% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 56% | 50% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 11% | 40% | 6% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 22% | 20% | 50% | 42% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lancaster City | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS | 63% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 28% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lancaster City | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Lancaster City (H)W
Stockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0W
Ilkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1L
Curzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2D
Tadcaster Albion1–1
Tadcaster Albion1–1L
Workington0–3
Workington0–3D
Quorn2–2
Quorn2–2Cleethorpes Town (A)DWorkington1–1
Workington1–1W
Ashton United1–0
Ashton United1–0W
Gainsborough Trinity3–0
Gainsborough Trinity3–0WIlkeston Town3–0
Ilkeston Town3–0D
Warrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1WQuorn5–0
Quorn5–0Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Lancaster City
0%
2
Draws
67%
1
Cleethorpes Town
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
26/09/26Lancaster City
Cleethorpes Town
5–1Lancaster City21/03/26Cleethorpes Town
Lancaster City
0–0Cleethorpes Town08/11/25Lancaster City
Cleethorpes Town
2–2Lancaster City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 |
| 5 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 6 | Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 12 |  Alfreton Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 |  Hyde United | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 19 |  AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 |  Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 10 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 7 |
Team Insights
Lancaster City- ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Lancaster City's goals have been scored away.
Cleethorpes Town- ●Cleethorpes Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Lancaster CityWHStockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2LAAvro3–5
Avro3–5WHIlkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1WAWhitby Town2–1
Whitby Town2–1LHCurzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2–HLeek Town17/10
Leek Town17/10–AAFC Emley24/10
AFC Emley24/10–AUnited of Manchester31/10
United of Manchester31/10Cleethorpes TownWHRylands3–0
Rylands3–0WHHyde United1–0
Hyde United1–0DAWorkington1–1
Workington1–1DHRedcar Athletic1–1
Redcar Athletic1–1WAAshton United1–0
Ashton United1–0WAGainsborough Trinity3–0
Gainsborough Trinity3–0–AGuiseley AFC20/10
Guiseley AFC20/10–HAvro31/10
Avro31/10–ALancaster City07/11
Lancaster City07/11Top Scorers
Lancaster CityS. Yawson4 ⚽
S. Bailey3 ⚽
C. Bailey3 ⚽
D. Lawson3 ⚽
J. Craig3 ⚽
S. Sanogo2 ⚽
Cleethorpes TownJ. Walker9 ⚽
J. Blunden5 ⚽
L. Hughes3 ⚽
B. Fewster3 ⚽
M. Wilson2 ⚽
C. Foster2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lancaster CityJ. Nolan1 🟨
Cleethorpes Town