Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Leek Town and Ilkeston Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Leek Town have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 84% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Ilkeston Town have won 17% of their 18 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 2.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Leek Town and 1.36 for Ilkeston Town. The models give Leek Town a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Ilkeston Town win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 61% | 44% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 44% | 50% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 22% | 20% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 39% | 56% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 100% | 70% | 94% | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 56% | 40% | 72% | 67% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 11% | 30% | 44% | 33% | 56% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 0% | 30% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 17% |
| BTTS | 84% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 42% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 83% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 20 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 19 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 16 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 14 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 | |
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Ilkeston Town's goals have been scored away.