Ashton United vs Bury — Non League Premier - Northern
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Ashton United and Bury meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Ashton United have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Bury have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 2.45 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Ashton United and 1.27 for Bury. The models give Ashton United a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Bury win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ashton United | Home | Away | Bury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 78% | 67% | 82% | 92% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 22% | 50% | 59% | 77% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 11% | 17% | 45% | 69% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 22% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Ashton United | Home | Away | Bury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 67% | 92% | 64% | 54% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 33% | 58% | 27% | 15% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 33% | 8% | 36% | 46% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ashton United | Bury | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 32% |
| BTTS | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ashton United | Bury | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ashton United | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 | |
| 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 | |
| 12 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 | |
| 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Bury have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●68% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Bury's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bury have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Bury have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.