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Gainsborough Trinity vs Lancaster City — Non League Premier - Northern

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Gainsborough Trinity
Gainsborough Trinity
6º · 1.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 20h
vs
–
–
Lancaster City
Lancaster City
10º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 20h
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Gainsborough Trinity and Lancaster City meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Gainsborough Trinity have recorded 9 wins from 21 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Lancaster City have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.51 for Lancaster City. The models give Gainsborough Trinity a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lancaster City win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.

Season Statistics

Gainsborough Trinity
—
Lancaster City
6º
Position
10º
1.83
PPG
1.43
58%
Win %
43%
2.08
Goals / game
1.36
1.33
Conceded / game
1.86
62%
BTTS %
63%
19%
Clean sheet %
21%
67%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Gainsborough Trinity
Home (6)
—
Lancaster City
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
1.43
50%
Win %
43%
1.50
Goals / game
1.71
1.33
Conceded / game
2.29
36%
BTTS %
70%
27%
Clean sheet %
20%
55%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Gainsborough TrinityHomeAwayLancaster CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored76%55%100%84%78%90%
Over 1.5 Scored62%55%70%42%33%50%
Over 2.5 Scored33%27%40%5%0%10%
Failed To Score24%45%0%16%22%10%

Goals Conceded

Gainsborough TrinityHomeAwayLancaster CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded81%73%90%79%78%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded48%45%50%53%56%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded19%27%10%26%11%40%
Clean Sheets19%27%10%21%22%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Gainsborough TrinityLancaster City
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.590%79%
Over 2.567%63%
Over 3.538%37%
Over 4.529%16%
BTTS62%63%
BTTS & Win29%16%
BTTS & Draw19%21%
BTTS & Over 2.552%58%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Gainsborough TrinityLancaster City
Win 1st Half24%26%
Draw 1st Half52%47%
Loss 1st Half24%26%
Scored 1st Half43%58%
Conceded 1st Half43%58%
Win 2nd Half48%26%
Draw 2nd Half29%26%
Loss 2nd Half24%47%
Scored 2nd Half67%53%
Conceded 2nd Half67%58%
Over 0.5 HT67%84%
Over 1.5 HT43%37%

Recent Venue Form

Gainsborough Trinity (H)
WIlkeston Town3–1
LAnstey Nomads2–3
WLeamington3–0
LAvro0–2
LCleethorpes Town0–3
LBury0–1
Lancaster City (A)
DWarrington Town2–2
LAvro3–5
WWhitby Town2–1
LCleethorpes Town1–5
LBradford (Park Avenue)0–1
WTadcaster Albion2–0

Head to Head · 14 matches

6
Gainsborough Trinity
43%
1
Draws
7%
7
Lancaster City
50%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
64%
Over 2.5
9/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
11/04/26
Lancaster City
3–0
Gainsborough Trinity
23/08/25
Gainsborough Trinity
0–0
Lancaster City
14/12/24
Lancaster City
1–2
Gainsborough Trinity
07/09/24
Gainsborough Trinity
1–2
Lancaster City
06/04/24
Lancaster City
2–1
Gainsborough Trinity
04/11/23
Gainsborough Trinity
1–0
Lancaster City
08/04/23
Lancaster City
1–2
Gainsborough Trinity
29/10/22
Lancaster City
3–2
Gainsborough Trinity
27/08/22
Gainsborough Trinity
0–2
Lancaster City
26/02/22
Gainsborough Trinity
3–1
Lancaster City
13/11/21
Gainsborough Trinity
1–2
Lancaster City
02/10/21
Lancaster City
0–2
Gainsborough Trinity
07/03/20
Lancaster City
0–1
Gainsborough Trinity
31/08/19
Gainsborough Trinity
2–4
Lancaster City
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic14941+1931
2Cleethorpes Town13931+2330
3Guiseley AFC12813+1425
4Avro12813+1125
5Rylands14725+423
6Gainsborough Trinity12714+922
7Curzon Ashton12714+822
8Warrington Town12642+522
9Workington14635021
10Lancaster City14626-720
11Bury11614+1119
12Alfreton Town14617+419
13Whitby Town13517-1416
14Hyde United14437-1015
15Ashton United12354+114
16Quorn13355-614
17Stockton Town14338-812
18Leek Town12255-111
19AFC Emley13256-1311
20Bamber Bridge13247-1610
21United of Manchester12147-87
22Ilkeston Town142111-267

Team Insights

Gainsborough Trinity
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●64% of Gainsborough Trinity's goals have been scored away.
Lancaster City
  • ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Lancaster City have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Lancaster City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●63% of Lancaster City's goals have been scored away.
WHIlkeston Town22º3–1
WAAFC Emley19º2–1
WAWhitby Town13º6–2
DABury3–3
WHLeamington3–0
DALeamington1–1
LHAvro4º0–2

Season Schedule

Gainsborough Trinity
WHIlkeston Town3–1
WAAFC Emley2–1
WAWhitby Town6–2
LHAvro0–2
LHCleethorpes Town0–3
WAAshton United2–1
–HHyde United17/10
–AWarrington Town24/10
–HCurzon Ashton27/10
Lancaster City
WHStockton Town1–0
DAWarrington Town2–2
LAAvro3–5
WHIlkeston Town2–1
WAWhitby Town2–1
LHCurzon Ashton0–2
–HLeek Town17/10
–AAFC Emley24/10
–AUnited of Manchester31/10

Top Scorers

Gainsborough Trinity
O. Ashton4 ⚽
H. Beeden3 ⚽
F. Preston3 ⚽
C. Brown3 ⚽
B. Blythe2 ⚽
J. Clarke2 ⚽
Lancaster City
S. Yawson4 ⚽
S. Bailey3 ⚽
C. Bailey3 ⚽
D. Lawson3 ⚽
J. Craig3 ⚽
S. Sanogo2 ⚽

Cards Given

Gainsborough Trinity
Lancaster City
J. Nolan1 🟨