Gainsborough Trinity vs Lancaster City — Non League Premier - Northern
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Gainsborough Trinity and Lancaster City meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Gainsborough Trinity have recorded 9 wins from 21 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Lancaster City have won 37% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.51 for Lancaster City. The models give Gainsborough Trinity a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lancaster City win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Lancaster City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 55% | 100% | 84% | 78% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 55% | 70% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 27% | 40% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 45% | 0% | 16% | 22% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Lancaster City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 73% | 90% | 79% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 45% | 50% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 27% | 10% | 26% | 11% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 27% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gainsborough Trinity | Lancaster City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 16% |
| BTTS | 62% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gainsborough Trinity | Lancaster City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 14 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 20 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 19 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 16 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 14 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 | |
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Gainsborough Trinity's goals have been scored away.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Lancaster City's goals have been scored away.