Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester — Non League Premier - Northern
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Ilkeston Town and United of Manchester meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Ilkeston Town have recorded 3 wins from 18 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 2.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. United of Manchester have won 30% of their 23 matches, with 1.65 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Ilkeston Town and 1.56 for United of Manchester. The models give Ilkeston Town a 31% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an United of Manchester win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Ilkeston Town—
United of Manchester22º
Position
21º
0.50
PPG
0.58
14%
Win %
8%
0.57
Goals / game
1.25
2.43
Conceded / game
1.92
56%
BTTS %
52%
6%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ilkeston Town
Home (7)
—
United of Manchester
Away (6)
0.43
PPG
0.33
14%
Win %
0%
0.29
Goals / game
0.83
2.14
Conceded / game
1.83
33%
BTTS %
31%
11%
Clean sheet %
23%
56%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | United of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 44% | 78% | 70% | 90% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 11% | 43% | 40% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 30% | 30% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 56% | 22% | 30% | 10% | 46% |
Goals Conceded
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | United of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 89% | 100% | 83% | 90% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 72% | 67% | 78% | 48% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 33% | 56% | 22% | 30% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 11% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ilkeston Town | United of | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 26% |
| BTTS | 56% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ilkeston Town | United of | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 9% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 61% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 74% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Ilkeston Town (H)L
Redcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5L
Guiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2L
Rylands0–1
Rylands0–1L
Anstey Nomads1–3
Anstey Nomads1–3L
Quorn0–2
Quorn0–2L
Cleethorpes Town0–3
Cleethorpes Town0–3United of (A)D
Stockton Town2–2
Stockton Town2–2L
Alfreton Town0–1
Alfreton Town0–1W
Worksop Town3–0
Worksop Town3–0L
Hyde United0–2
Hyde United0–2W
Garforth Town5–1
Garforth Town5–1LRedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Ilkeston Town
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
United of
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
25/04/26United of Manchester
Ilkeston Town
3–2United of Manchester29/11/25Ilkeston Town
United of Manchester
2–1Ilkeston Town12/04/25United of Manchester
Ilkeston Town
1–1United of Manchester17/08/24Ilkeston Town
United of Manchester
1–1Ilkeston Town06/01/24United of Manchester
Ilkeston Town
2–0United of Manchester22/08/23Ilkeston Town
United of Manchester
1–0Ilkeston Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 31 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 25 |
| 5 | Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 6 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 7 |  Curzon Ashton | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 |  Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 12 | Alfreton Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 |  Ashton United | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 19 |  AFC Emley | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 11 |
| 20 |  Bamber Bridge | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -16 | 10 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | -26 | 7 |
Team Insights
Ilkeston Town- ●Ilkeston Town have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Ilkeston Town's goals have been scored away.
United of- ●United of Manchester have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of United of Manchester's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Ilkeston TownLAGainsborough Trinity1–3
Gainsborough Trinity1–3LHRedcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5LHGuiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2LALancaster City1–2
Lancaster City1–2LHRylands0–1
Rylands0–1LAWorkington1–3
Workington1–3–HAvro17/10
Avro17/10–HHyde United31/10
Hyde United31/10–ALeek Town07/11
Leek Town07/11United ofDHAFC Emley1–1
AFC Emley1–1DAStockton Town2–2
Stockton Town2–2LAAlfreton Town0–1
Alfreton Town0–1WHWarrington Town4–1
Warrington Town4–1LHAvro3–4
Avro3–4LARedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3–ACurzon Ashton20/10
Curzon Ashton20/10–HWhitby Town24/10
Whitby Town24/10–HQuorn27/10
Quorn27/10Top Scorers
Ilkeston TownA. Dwyer6 ⚽
A. Hunter2 ⚽
L. Joyce1 ⚽
P. Johnson1 ⚽
S. Newell1 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
United ofA. Le Fondre5 ⚽
M. Grivosti4 ⚽
J. Buckley4 ⚽
M. Donohue3 ⚽
G. Sithole1 ⚽
A. Sudworth1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ilkeston TownL. Joyce1 🟨
United ofJ. Buckley2 🟨