Bury vs Redcar Athletic — Non League Premier - Northern
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Bury and Redcar Athletic meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Bury have recorded 13 wins from 22 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Redcar Athletic have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Bury and 1.47 for Redcar Athletic. The models give Bury a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Redcar Athletic win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bury | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 92% | 67% | 82% | 75% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 77% | 33% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 45% | 69% | 11% | 32% | 42% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 8% | 33% | 18% | 25% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Bury | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 54% | 78% | 59% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 15% | 44% | 27% | 42% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 8% | 22% | 14% | 17% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 46% | 22% | 41% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bury | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 23% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bury | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bury | Redcar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 | |
| 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 | |
| 12 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 | |
| 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Bury have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●68% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Bury's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bury have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Bury have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.