Lancaster City vs Ashton United — Non League Premier - Northern
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Lancaster City and Ashton United meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Lancaster City have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Ashton United have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Lancaster City and 1.38 for Ashton United. The models give Lancaster City a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ashton United win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Lancaster City—
Ashton United11º
Position
17º
1.25
PPG
1.00
38%
Win %
21%
1.25
Goals / game
1.21
1.81
Conceded / game
1.29
62%
BTTS %
57%
19%
Clean sheet %
19%
62%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lancaster City
Home (8)
—
Ashton United
Away (7)
1.25
PPG
0.86
38%
Win %
14%
1.00
Goals / game
1.14
1.50
Conceded / game
1.57
60%
BTTS %
58%
20%
Clean sheet %
8%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 80% | 82% | 71% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 30% | 45% | 38% | 22% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 20% | 18% | 29% | 22% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 80% | 82% | 81% | 67% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 60% | 45% | 48% | 33% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 10% | 36% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 20% | 18% | 19% | 33% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lancaster City | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 19% |
| BTTS | 62% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lancaster City | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Lancaster City (H)L
Leek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2W
Stockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0W
Ilkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1L
Curzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2D
Tadcaster Albion1–1
Tadcaster Albion1–1L
Workington0–3
Workington0–3Ashton United (A)L
Avro2–3
Avro2–3DLeek Town2–2
Leek Town2–2D
Quorn2–2
Quorn2–2D
Warrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2L
Buxton0–1
Buxton0–1W
Whitby Town5–2
Whitby Town5–2Head to Head · 14 matches
7
Lancaster City
50%
1
Draws
7%
6
Ashton United
43%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
71%
Over 2.5
10/14
50%
Over 3.5
7/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
08/08/26Lancaster City
Ashton United
4–1Lancaster City31/01/26Ashton United
Lancaster City
3–2Ashton United20/09/25Lancaster City
Ashton United
1–3Lancaster City15/02/25Lancaster City
Ashton United
2–1Lancaster City19/10/24Ashton United
Lancaster City
2–2Ashton United05/03/24Lancaster City
Ashton United
5–0Lancaster City14/11/23Ashton United
Lancaster City
2–1Ashton United30/09/23Ashton United
Lancaster City
0–2Ashton United15/04/23Lancaster City
Ashton United
2–4Lancaster City26/11/22Ashton United
Lancaster City
1–0Ashton United22/01/22Lancaster City
Ashton United
1–0Lancaster City25/09/21Ashton United
Lancaster City
3–2Ashton United25/01/20Lancaster City
Ashton United
1–0Lancaster City12/10/19Ashton United
Lancaster City
3–0Ashton United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Lancaster City- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Ashton United- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lancaster CityLAAFC Emley0–1
AFC Emley0–1LHLeek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2WHStockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2LAAvro3–5
Avro3–5WHIlkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1–AUnited of Manchester31/10
United of Manchester31/10–HCleethorpes Town07/11
Cleethorpes Town07/11–AGainsborough Trinity14/11
Gainsborough Trinity14/11Ashton UnitedLAAvro2–3
Avro2–3LHRedcar Athletic1–2
Redcar Athletic1–2DHAlfreton Town0–0
Alfreton Town0–0DALeek Town2–2
Leek Town2–2DAQuorn2–2
Quorn2–2LHCleethorpes Town0–1
Cleethorpes Town0–1–HRylands31/10
Rylands31/10–HWarrington Town03/11
Warrington Town03/11–AWorkington07/11
Workington07/11Top Scorers
Lancaster CityS. Yawson4 ⚽
C. Bailey3 ⚽
D. Lawson3 ⚽
J. Craig3 ⚽
S. Bailey3 ⚽
S. Sanogo2 ⚽
Ashton UnitedJ. Hardy3 ⚽
N. Okome2 ⚽
D. Turner2 ⚽
K. Willoughby2 ⚽
J. Johnson2 ⚽
D. Coghill1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lancaster CityJ. Nolan1 🟨
Ashton UnitedC. Spooner1 🟨