Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity — Non League Premier - Northern
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Workington and Gainsborough Trinity meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Workington have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Gainsborough Trinity have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Workington and 1.85 for Gainsborough Trinity. The models give Workington a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gainsborough Trinity win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Workington—
Gainsborough Trinity6º
Position
4º
1.60
PPG
2.00
47%
Win %
64%
1.73
Goals / game
2.21
1.67
Conceded / game
1.21
68%
BTTS %
61%
11%
Clean sheet %
22%
79%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Workington
Home (7)
—
Gainsborough Trinity
Away (7)
1.57
PPG
2.29
43%
Win %
71%
1.86
Goals / game
2.57
1.57
Conceded / game
1.29
78%
BTTS %
91%
11%
Clean sheet %
9%
78%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Workington | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 78% | 58% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 67% | 50% | 65% | 58% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 56% | 20% | 35% | 33% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 22% | 42% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Workington | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 89% | 90% | 78% | 67% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 56% | 60% | 43% | 42% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 0% | 30% | 17% | 25% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 11% | 10% | 22% | 33% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Workington | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 26% |
| BTTS | 68% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Workington | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Workington (H)L
Whitby Town1–2
Whitby Town1–2D
Cleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1W
Blyth Spartans4–2
Blyth Spartans4–2W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1W
Marske United3–0
Marske United3–0W
Leek Town3–2
Leek Town3–2Gainsborough Trinity (A)W
Warrington Town2–1
Warrington Town2–1W
AFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1WWhitby Town6–2
Whitby Town6–2D
Bury3–3
Bury3–3D
Leamington1–1
Leamington1–1W
Sherwood Colliery4–2
Sherwood Colliery4–2Head to Head · 7 matches
0
Workington
0%
2
Draws
29%
5
Gainsborough Trinity
71%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
08/08/26Workington
Gainsborough Trinity
2–0Workington14/02/26Workington
Gainsborough Trinity
3–3Workington21/10/25Gainsborough Trinity
Workington
1–2Gainsborough Trinity15/03/25Gainsborough Trinity
Workington
1–1Gainsborough Trinity09/11/24Workington
Gainsborough Trinity
3–0Workington23/03/24Workington
Gainsborough Trinity
4–2Workington21/10/23Gainsborough Trinity
Workington
2–3Gainsborough Trinity| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 | AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Workington- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Gainsborough Trinity- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
WorkingtonWABamber Bridge2–1
Bamber Bridge2–1LHWhitby Town1–2
Whitby Town1–2LAQuorn0–3
Quorn0–3DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2DHCleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1WAAFC Emley3–1
AFC Emley3–1–ABury31/10
Bury31/10–HAshton United07/11
Ashton United07/11–HAlfreton Town10/11
Alfreton Town10/11Gainsborough TrinityWAWarrington Town2–1
Warrington Town2–1WHHyde United4–0
Hyde United4–0WHIlkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1WAAFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1WAWhitby Town6–2
Whitby Town6–2LHAvro0–2
Avro0–2–HCurzon Ashton27/10
Curzon Ashton27/10–HBamber Bridge31/10
Bamber Bridge31/10–ARylands07/11
Rylands07/11Top Scorers
WorkingtonL. Hunter10 ⚽
B. Dickenson4 ⚽
B. Carroll2 ⚽
D. Hopper2 ⚽
J. J. Palmer2 ⚽
S. Rigg1 ⚽
Gainsborough TrinityH. Beeden4 ⚽
O. Ashton4 ⚽
F. Preston4 ⚽
C. Brown4 ⚽
R. Kokkinos3 ⚽
B. Blythe2 ⚽
Cards Given
WorkingtonK. Nugent2 🟨
A. Mitchell1 🟨
Gainsborough Trinity