Curzon Ashton vs Bury — Non League Premier - Northern
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Curzon Ashton and Bury meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Curzon Ashton have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Bury have won 56% of their 25 matches, with 2.48 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Curzon Ashton and 1.21 for Bury. The models give Curzon Ashton a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Bury win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | Bury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 92% | 89% | 84% | 94% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 17% | 33% | 44% | 63% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 6% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | Bury | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 68% | 63% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 44% | 36% | 31% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 32% | 38% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Curzon Ashton | Bury | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 32% |
| BTTS | 57% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Curzon Ashton | Bury | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Curzon Ashton | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 | |
| 3 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 31 | |
| 5 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 | |
| 6 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 29 | |
| 7 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 | |
| 8 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 | |
| 9 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 23 | |
| 11 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 | |
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 20 | |
| 14 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 | |
| 17 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 | |
| 18 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 14 | |
| 19 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 14 | |
| 20 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 | |
| 21 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 | |
| 22 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Curzon Ashton have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●67% of Curzon Ashton's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bury failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bury have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bury have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bury have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●77% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bury have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.