Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Gainsborough Trinity and Alfreton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Gainsborough Trinity have recorded 11 wins from 25 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Alfreton Town have won 36% of their 25 matches, with 1.12 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.22 for Alfreton Town. The models give Gainsborough Trinity a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alfreton Town win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Gainsborough Trinity—
Alfreton Town5º
Position
11º
1.81
PPG
1.44
56%
Win %
44%
2.00
Goals / game
1.44
1.31
Conceded / game
1.13
60%
BTTS %
44%
20%
Clean sheet %
24%
68%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gainsborough Trinity
Home (9)
—
Alfreton Town
Away (7)
1.44
PPG
0.57
44%
Win %
14%
1.56
Goals / game
0.86
1.33
Conceded / game
1.43
36%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
13%
57%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 57% | 100% | 60% | 65% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 73% | 32% | 35% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 29% | 36% | 12% | 12% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 43% | 0% | 40% | 35% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 71% | 91% | 76% | 71% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 43% | 45% | 40% | 41% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 29% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 9% | 24% | 29% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gainsborough Trinity | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 12% |
| BTTS | 60% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gainsborough Trinity | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Gainsborough Trinity (H)D
Bamber Bridge1–1
Bamber Bridge1–1L
Curzon Ashton0–3
Curzon Ashton0–3W
Hyde United4–0
Hyde United4–0W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1L
Anstey Nomads2–3
Anstey Nomads2–3W
Leamington3–0
Leamington3–0Alfreton Town (A)W
Mickleover Sports2–1
Mickleover Sports2–1D
Ashton United0–0
Ashton United0–0L
Redcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3LBamber Bridge0–1
Bamber Bridge0–1W
Whitby Town4–1
Whitby Town4–1L
Stockton Town0–2
Stockton Town0–2Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Gainsborough Trinity
0%
1
Draws
25%
3
Alfreton Town
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
11/08/26Gainsborough Trinity
Alfreton Town
2–1Gainsborough Trinity18/11/25Alfreton Town
Gainsborough Trinity
1–2Alfreton Town30/11/16Gainsborough Trinity
Alfreton Town
4–1Gainsborough Trinity26/11/16Alfreton Town
Gainsborough Trinity
0–0Alfreton Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 |
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 31 |
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 |
| 6 |  Avro | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 8 |  Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 9 |  Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 10 |  Bury | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 23 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 |
| 12 |  Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 |  AFC Emley | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 | Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 |
| 15 |  Quorn | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 14 |
| 19 |  Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Gainsborough Trinity- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Alfreton Town- ●Alfreton Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 9 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●74% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Gainsborough TrinityDHBamber Bridge1–1
Bamber Bridge1–1LHCurzon Ashton0–3
Curzon Ashton0–3WAWarrington Town2–1
Warrington Town2–1WHHyde United4–0
Hyde United4–0WHIlkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1WAAFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1–ARylands07/11
Rylands07/11–HLancaster City14/11
Lancaster City14/11–AWorkington21/11
Workington21/11Alfreton TownWHAFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1DHWarrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1DAAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0LHBury2–3
Bury2–3WHUnited of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0LARedcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3–AQuorn06/11
Quorn06/11–AWorkington10/11
Workington10/11–HCurzon Ashton21/11
Curzon Ashton21/11Top Scorers
Gainsborough TrinityC. Brown5 ⚽
O. Ashton4 ⚽
F. Preston4 ⚽
H. Beeden4 ⚽
R. Kokkinos3 ⚽
B. Blythe2 ⚽
Alfreton TownS. Ligendza7 ⚽
D. Youmbi5 ⚽
D. Odunaiya4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
K. Williams1 ⚽
Cards Given
Gainsborough TrinityAlfreton TownK. Williams2 🟨
D. Odunaiya1 🟨