Ilkeston Town vs AFC Emley — Non League Premier - Northern
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Ilkeston Town and AFC Emley meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Ilkeston Town have recorded 5 wins from 20 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. AFC Emley have won 23% of their 22 matches, with 0.95 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Ilkeston Town and 1.40 for AFC Emley. The models give Ilkeston Town a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an AFC Emley win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Ilkeston Town—
AFC Emley20º
Position
13º
0.81
PPG
1.18
25%
Win %
29%
0.69
Goals / game
1.12
2.13
Conceded / game
1.65
50%
BTTS %
59%
15%
Clean sheet %
18%
60%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ilkeston Town
Home (9)
—
AFC Emley
Away (9)
1.00
PPG
1.11
33%
Win %
22%
0.56
Goals / game
1.11
1.67
Conceded / game
1.67
27%
BTTS %
50%
27%
Clean sheet %
25%
45%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | AFC Emley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 55% | 78% | 70% | 82% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 15% | 18% | 11% | 26% | 18% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 9% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 45% | 22% | 30% | 18% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | AFC Emley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 73% | 100% | 78% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 65% | 55% | 78% | 43% | 45% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 27% | 56% | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 27% | 0% | 22% | 18% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ilkeston Town | AFC Emley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ilkeston Town | AFC Emley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Ilkeston Town (H)W
Hyde United1–0
Hyde United1–0W
Avro2–0
Avro2–0L
Redcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5L
Guiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2L
Rylands0–1
Rylands0–1L
Anstey Nomads1–3
Anstey Nomads1–3AFC Emley (A)L
Alfreton Town1–2
Alfreton Town1–2W
Stockton Town3–1
Stockton Town3–1D
United of Manchester1–1
United of Manchester1–1LRylands1–4
Rylands1–4L
Bootle0–5
Bootle0–5L
Bury0–4
Bury0–4Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Ilkeston Town
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
AFC Emley
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
11/08/26Ilkeston Town
AFC Emley
1–2Ilkeston Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 |
| 4 |  Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 31 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 |
| 6 | Avro | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 8 | Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 9 |  Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 10 | Bury | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 23 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 |
| 12 |  Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 | AFC Emley | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 |  Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 |
| 15 |  Quorn | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 |  Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 14 |
| 19 |  Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Ilkeston Town- ●Ilkeston Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
AFC Emley- ●AFC Emley have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●AFC Emley have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
Season Schedule
Ilkeston TownWHHyde United1–0
Hyde United1–0WHAvro2–0
Avro2–0LAGainsborough Trinity1–3
Gainsborough Trinity1–3LHRedcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5LHGuiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2LALancaster City1–2
Lancaster City1–2–ALeek Town07/11
Leek Town07/11–ACurzon Ashton10/11
Curzon Ashton10/11–HUnited of Manchester14/11
United of Manchester14/11AFC EmleyWHBamber Bridge2–0
Bamber Bridge2–0LAAlfreton Town1–2
Alfreton Town1–2WHLancaster City1–0
Lancaster City1–0WAStockton Town3–1
Stockton Town3–1DAUnited of Manchester1–1
United of Manchester1–1LHGainsborough Trinity1–2
Gainsborough Trinity1–2–HWhitby Town07/11
Whitby Town07/11–HHyde United21/11
Hyde United21/11–AIlkeston Town28/11
Ilkeston Town28/11Top Scorers
Ilkeston TownA. Dwyer7 ⚽
A. Hunter2 ⚽
D. Reason1 ⚽
L. Cox1 ⚽
L. Joyce1 ⚽
P. Johnson1 ⚽
AFC EmleyA. Haswell4 ⚽
E. Rinor3 ⚽
C. Barks2 ⚽
D. De Girolamo2 ⚽
G. Johnson2 ⚽
N. Stephenson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ilkeston TownB. L'Varn2 🟨
M. Abdullah2 🟨
L. Joyce1 🟨
AFC Emley