Alfreton Town vs Cleethorpes Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Alfreton Town and Cleethorpes Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Alfreton Town have recorded 9 wins from 26 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Cleethorpes Town have won 55% of their 22 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Alfreton Town and 1.49 for Cleethorpes Town. The models give Alfreton Town a 30% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Cleethorpes Town win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Alfreton Town—
Cleethorpes Town11º
Position
1º
1.35
PPG
2.25
41%
Win %
69%
1.35
Goals / game
2.13
1.29
Conceded / game
0.56
42%
BTTS %
45%
23%
Clean sheet %
50%
58%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Alfreton Town
Home (9)
—
Cleethorpes Town
Away (8)
2.11
PPG
2.13
67%
Win %
63%
1.89
Goals / game
2.13
0.89
Conceded / game
0.50
41%
BTTS %
44%
29%
Clean sheet %
56%
59%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | Cleethorpes Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 65% | 44% | 91% | 85% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 35% | 22% | 50% | 46% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 12% | 11% | 27% | 23% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 35% | 56% | 9% | 15% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | Cleethorpes Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 71% | 89% | 50% | 54% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 41% | 44% | 23% | 23% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 18% | 22% | 9% | 8% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 29% | 11% | 50% | 46% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alfreton Town | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 18% |
| BTTS | 42% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alfreton Town | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Alfreton Town (H)W
AFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1D
Warrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1L
Bury2–3
Bury2–3W
United of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0W
Guiseley AFC1–0
Guiseley AFC1–0W
Shifnal Town FC2–1
Shifnal Town FC2–1Cleethorpes Town (A)W
Lancaster City2–0
Lancaster City2–0L
Workington2–3
Workington2–3LGuiseley AFC1–2
Guiseley AFC1–2DWorkington1–1
Workington1–1W
Ashton United1–0
Ashton United1–0W
Gainsborough Trinity3–0
Gainsborough Trinity3–0Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Alfreton Town
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Cleethorpes Town
67%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
18/08/26Alfreton Town
Cleethorpes Town
2–1Alfreton Town16/09/23Alfreton Town
Cleethorpes Town
2–4Alfreton Town18/09/21Alfreton Town
Cleethorpes Town
1–0Alfreton Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 | Workington | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 | Bury | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -20 | 11 |
Team Insights
Alfreton Town- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 9 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●74% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Cleethorpes Town- ●Cleethorpes Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Alfreton TownLAQuorn0–4
Quorn0–4WHAFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1DHWarrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1DAAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0LHBury2–3
Bury2–3WHUnited of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0–AWorkington10/11
Workington10/11–HCurzon Ashton21/11
Curzon Ashton21/11–AGainsborough Trinity28/11
Gainsborough Trinity28/11Cleethorpes TownWALancaster City2–0
Lancaster City2–0WHAvro1–0
Avro1–0LAGuiseley AFC1–2
Guiseley AFC1–2WHRylands3–0
Rylands3–0WHHyde United1–0
Hyde United1–0DAWorkington1–1
Workington1–1–ABury10/11
Bury10/11–HStockton Town14/11
Stockton Town14/11–HUnited of Manchester17/11
United of Manchester17/11Top Scorers
Alfreton TownS. Ligendza7 ⚽
D. Youmbi5 ⚽
D. Odunaiya4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
K. Williams1 ⚽
Cleethorpes TownJ. Walker10 ⚽
J. Blunden5 ⚽
B. Fewster4 ⚽
L. Hughes4 ⚽
C. Foster3 ⚽
M. Wilson2 ⚽
Cards Given
Alfreton TownE. Robson2 🟨
K. Williams2 🟨
D. Odunaiya1 🟨
Cleethorpes Town