AFC Emley vs Leek Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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AFC Emley and Leek Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 5 December 2026. AFC Emley have recorded 5 wins from 22 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.95 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Leek Town have won 30% of their 23 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 87%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for AFC Emley and 1.76 for Leek Town. The models give AFC Emley a 40% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leek Town win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
AFC Emley—
Leek Town15º
Position
19º
1.06
PPG
0.93
25%
Win %
20%
1.06
Goals / game
2.00
1.75
Conceded / game
2.20
59%
BTTS %
87%
18%
Clean sheet %
13%
59%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
AFC Emley
Home (7)
—
Leek Town
Away (8)
1.00
PPG
0.75
29%
Win %
13%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.86
Conceded / game
2.50
70%
BTTS %
77%
10%
Clean sheet %
23%
60%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| AFC Emley | Home | Away | Leek Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 82% | 58% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 18% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 4% | 0% | 8% | 25% | 30% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 18% | 42% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Emley | Home | Away | Leek Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 82% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 45% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 10% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Emley | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 38% |
| BTTS | 57% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Emley | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Emley (H)W
Bamber Bridge2–0
Bamber Bridge2–0W
Lancaster City1–0
Lancaster City1–0L
Gainsborough Trinity1–2
Gainsborough Trinity1–2L
Workington1–3
Workington1–3L
Spennymoor Town0–4
Spennymoor Town0–4D
Bishop Auckland1–1
Bishop Auckland1–1Leek Town (A)L
Guiseley AFC1–4
Guiseley AFC1–4L
Curzon Ashton1–2
Curzon Ashton1–2L
Bury3–5
Bury3–5WLancaster City2–1
Lancaster City2–1W
Worcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0L
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
1
AFC Emley
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Leek Town
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
18/08/26AFC Emley
Leek Town
1–2AFC Emley| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 |
| 5 | Curzon Ashton | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +11 | 28 |
| 6 |  Avro | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 28 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 8 |  Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 9 |  Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Warrington Town | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 11 | Bury | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 22 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 |
| 14 |  Quorn | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | AFC Emley | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 |  Hyde United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 |  Ashton United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -17 | 11 |
Team Insights
AFC Emley- ●AFC Emley have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●AFC Emley have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
Leek Town- ●Leek Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●65% of Leek Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
AFC EmleyWHBamber Bridge2–0
Bamber Bridge2–0LAAlfreton Town1–2
Alfreton Town1–2WHLancaster City1–0
Lancaster City1–0WAStockton Town3–1
Stockton Town3–1DAUnited of Manchester1–1
United of Manchester1–1LHGainsborough Trinity1–2
Gainsborough Trinity1–2–HWhitby Town07/11
Whitby Town07/11–HHyde United21/11
Hyde United21/11–AIlkeston Town28/11
Ilkeston Town28/11Leek TownLAGuiseley AFC1–4
Guiseley AFC1–4LACurzon Ashton1–2
Curzon Ashton1–2LABury3–5
Bury3–5WALancaster City2–1
Lancaster City2–1DHAshton United2–2
Ashton United2–2DHRylands3–3
Rylands3–3–HIlkeston Town07/11
Ilkeston Town07/11–AWhitby Town21/11
Whitby Town21/11–HGainsborough Trinity24/11
Gainsborough Trinity24/11Top Scorers
AFC EmleyA. Haswell4 ⚽
E. Rinor3 ⚽
C. Barks2 ⚽
D. De Girolamo2 ⚽
G. Johnson2 ⚽
N. Stephenson1 ⚽
Leek TownJ. Griffiths8 ⚽
C. Heath5 ⚽
A. Hurst4 ⚽
L. Weir4 ⚽
3 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
Cards Given
AFC EmleyLeek TownA. Hurst1 🟨