Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity — Non League Premier - Northern
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Stockton Town and Gainsborough Trinity meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Stockton Town have recorded 4 wins from 21 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Gainsborough Trinity have won 42% of their 26 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Stockton Town and 1.75 for Gainsborough Trinity. The models give Stockton Town a 34% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Gainsborough Trinity win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Stockton Town—
Gainsborough Trinity19º
Position
5º
0.88
PPG
1.71
24%
Win %
53%
1.35
Goals / game
1.94
1.71
Conceded / game
1.41
57%
BTTS %
62%
14%
Clean sheet %
19%
57%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stockton Town
Home (9)
—
Gainsborough Trinity
Away (8)
1.22
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
63%
1.33
Goals / game
2.38
1.33
Conceded / game
1.50
55%
BTTS %
92%
18%
Clean sheet %
8%
45%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stockton Town | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 73% | 70% | 77% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 36% | 20% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 9% | 20% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 27% | 30% | 23% | 43% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Stockton Town | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 82% | 90% | 81% | 71% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 55% | 60% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 18% | 40% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 18% | 10% | 19% | 29% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stockton Town | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 23% |
| BTTS | 57% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stockton Town | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Stockton Town (H)L
Curzon Ashton0–1
Curzon Ashton0–1L
AFC Emley1–3
AFC Emley1–3D
United of Manchester2–2
United of Manchester2–2W
Bury1–0
Bury1–0W
Bamber Bridge5–2
Bamber Bridge5–2D
Guiseley AFC2–2
Guiseley AFC2–2Gainsborough Trinity (A)L
Rylands1–3
Rylands1–3W
Warrington Town2–1
Warrington Town2–1WAFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1W
Whitby Town6–2
Whitby Town6–2DBury3–3
Bury3–3D
Leamington1–1
Leamington1–1Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Stockton Town
20%
1
Draws
20%
3
Gainsborough Trinity
60%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
18/08/26Stockton Town
Gainsborough Trinity
4–1Stockton Town03/04/26Gainsborough Trinity
Stockton Town
1–0Gainsborough Trinity19/08/25Stockton Town
Gainsborough Trinity
2–0Stockton Town25/01/25Gainsborough Trinity
Stockton Town
2–3Gainsborough Trinity21/09/24Stockton Town
Gainsborough Trinity
1–1Stockton Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 | Curzon Ashton | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 | Rylands | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 | Bury | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 | AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 | Whitby Town | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 | United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -20 | 11 |
Team Insights
Stockton Town- ●Stockton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Stockton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Stockton Town have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
Gainsborough Trinity- ●Gainsborough Trinity have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Stockton TownLHCurzon Ashton0–1
Curzon Ashton0–1WAWhitby Town5–0
Whitby Town5–0LHAFC Emley1–3
AFC Emley1–3LALancaster City0–1
Lancaster City0–1DHUnited of Manchester2–2
United of Manchester2–2WHBury1–0
Bury1–0–AQuorn10/11
Quorn10/11–ACleethorpes Town14/11
Cleethorpes Town14/11–HIlkeston Town21/11
Ilkeston Town21/11Gainsborough TrinityLARylands1–3
Rylands1–3DHBamber Bridge1–1
Bamber Bridge1–1LHCurzon Ashton0–3
Curzon Ashton0–3WAWarrington Town2–1
Warrington Town2–1WHHyde United4–0
Hyde United4–0WHIlkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1–HLancaster City14/11
Lancaster City14/11–AWorkington21/11
Workington21/11–ALeek Town24/11
Leek Town24/11Top Scorers
Stockton TownJ. Scott7 ⚽
F. Nouble4 ⚽
A. Nicholson3 ⚽
C. Bone2 ⚽
J. Petitjean1 ⚽
K. Foreman1 ⚽
Gainsborough TrinityC. Brown5 ⚽
O. Ashton4 ⚽
F. Preston4 ⚽
H. Beeden4 ⚽
L. Butroid3 ⚽
R. Kokkinos3 ⚽
Cards Given
Stockton TownJ. Scott2 🟨
L. King2 🟨
L. Watts1 🟨
S. Thompson1 🟨
Gainsborough Trinity