Warrington Town vs Ilkeston Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Warrington Town and Ilkeston Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Warrington Town have recorded 10 wins from 27 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Ilkeston Town have won 24% of their 21 matches, with 0.95 goals scored and 2.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for Warrington Town and 1.41 for Ilkeston Town. The models give Warrington Town a 54% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Ilkeston Town win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Warrington Town—
Ilkeston Town6º
Position
20º
1.71
PPG
0.76
47%
Win %
24%
1.82
Goals / game
0.76
1.41
Conceded / game
2.18
63%
BTTS %
52%
26%
Clean sheet %
14%
78%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Warrington Town
Home (7)
—
Ilkeston Town
Away (8)
1.00
PPG
0.50
14%
Win %
13%
1.57
Goals / game
1.00
1.86
Conceded / game
2.75
64%
BTTS %
80%
21%
Clean sheet %
0%
86%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Warrington Town | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 86% | 92% | 67% | 55% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 64% | 54% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 21% | 15% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 14% | 8% | 33% | 45% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Warrington Town | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 79% | 69% | 86% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 71% | 38% | 67% | 55% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 14% | 15% | 43% | 27% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 21% | 31% | 14% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Warrington Town | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS | 63% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Warrington Town | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 76% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Warrington Town (H)L
Gainsborough Trinity1–2
Gainsborough Trinity1–2D
Lancaster City2–2
Lancaster City2–2D
Workington2–2
Workington2–2D
Ashton United2–2
Ashton United2–2W
South Liverpool3–0
South Liverpool3–0W
Shildon AFC4–0
Shildon AFC4–0Ilkeston Town (A)L
Leek Town2–3
Leek Town2–3LGainsborough Trinity1–3
Gainsborough Trinity1–3LLancaster City1–2
Lancaster City1–2LWorkington1–3
Workington1–3L
Leamington1–3
Leamington1–3L
Bury0–7
Bury0–7Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Warrington Town
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Ilkeston Town
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
18/08/26Warrington Town
Ilkeston Town
1–2Warrington Town04/04/26Warrington Town
Ilkeston Town
1–1Warrington Town19/08/25Ilkeston Town
Warrington Town
1–0Ilkeston Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 | Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 | Workington | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 | Bury | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -20 | 11 |
Team Insights
Warrington Town- ●Warrington Town have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Warrington Town have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Warrington Town have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have won 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in 10 of their 10 away matches.
- ●65% of Warrington Town's goals have been scored away.
- ●76% of Warrington Town's points have been earned away.
Ilkeston Town- ●Ilkeston Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Ilkeston Town's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Warrington TownWAAvro3–0
Avro3–0WAAshton United1–0
Ashton United1–0LAQuorn2–3
Quorn2–3LHGainsborough Trinity1–2
Gainsborough Trinity1–2DAAlfreton Town1–1
Alfreton Town1–1WABamber Bridge1–0
Bamber Bridge1–0–ARedcar Athletic14/11
Redcar Athletic14/11–HGuiseley AFC21/11
Guiseley AFC21/11–AHyde United28/11
Hyde United28/11Ilkeston TownLALeek Town2–3
Leek Town2–3WHHyde United1–0
Hyde United1–0WHAvro2–0
Avro2–0LAGainsborough Trinity1–3
Gainsborough Trinity1–3LHRedcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5LHGuiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2–ACurzon Ashton10/11
Curzon Ashton10/11–HUnited of Manchester14/11
United of Manchester14/11–AStockton Town21/11
Stockton Town21/11Top Scorers
Warrington TownR. Daly9 ⚽
E. Bange4 ⚽
J. Goodwin3 ⚽
B. Elliott3 ⚽
C. Edwards3 ⚽
L. Earl3 ⚽
Ilkeston TownA. Dwyer8 ⚽
A. Hunter2 ⚽
S. Newell2 ⚽
L. Joyce1 ⚽
P. Johnson1 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
Cards Given
Warrington TownR. Daly2 🟨
Ilkeston TownB. L'Varn2 🟨
M. Abdullah2 🟨
L. Joyce1 🟨