Whitby Town vs Ashton United — Non League Premier - Northern
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Whitby Town and Ashton United meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Whitby Town have recorded 6 wins from 20 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.35 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Ashton United have won 29% of their 24 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Whitby Town and 1.81 for Ashton United. The models give Whitby Town a 30% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ashton United win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Whitby Town | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 60% | 70% | 71% | 73% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 30% | 60% | 33% | 18% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 40% | 30% | 29% | 27% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Whitby Town | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 70% | 100% | 79% | 73% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 70% | 70% | 46% | 36% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 50% | 40% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 30% | 0% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Whitby Town | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 17% |
| BTTS | 55% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Whitby Town | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 60% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 36 | |
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 35 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 34 | |
| 4 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 | |
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 29 | |
| 7 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 29 | |
| 8 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +6 | 29 | |
| 9 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 27 | |
| 10 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +13 | 26 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | +1 | 23 | |
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 | |
| 13 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 | |
| 14 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 21 | |
| 15 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -21 | 19 | |
| 16 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 18 | |
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 | |
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 | |
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -6 | 15 | |
| 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -24 | 13 | |
| 21 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 | |
| 22 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -20 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Whitby Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Whitby Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Whitby Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Whitby Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Whitby Town have lost 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●70% of Whitby Town's goals have been scored away.
- ●63% of Whitby Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Whitby Town have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Ashton United have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ashton United have lost 5 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.