Lancaster City vs Guiseley AFC — Non League Premier - Northern
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Lancaster City and Guiseley AFC meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Lancaster City have recorded 7 wins from 23 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Guiseley AFC have won 71% of their 31 matches, with 2.16 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Lancaster City and 1.62 for Guiseley AFC. The models give Lancaster City a 26% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Guiseley AFC win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Lancaster City—
Guiseley AFC14º
Position
4º
1.17
PPG
2.06
33%
Win %
63%
1.11
Goals / game
2.13
1.72
Conceded / game
1.00
57%
BTTS %
61%
22%
Clean sheet %
35%
57%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
13.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
16.0
0.0%
Avg possession
48.5%
Home vs Away
Lancaster City
Home (9)
—
Guiseley AFC
Away (9)
1.11
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
56%
0.89
Goals / game
1.78
1.56
Conceded / game
0.78
55%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
44%
55%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
7.0
0.0
Avg shots
13.5
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0%
Avg possession
48.5%
Goals Scored
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Guiseley AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 73% | 75% | 97% | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 27% | 42% | 68% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 4% | 0% | 8% | 35% | 40% | 31% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 27% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
Goals Conceded
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Guiseley AFC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 82% | 75% | 65% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 64% | 42% | 29% | 40% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 9% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 18% | 25% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lancaster City | Guiseley AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS | 57% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lancaster City | Guiseley AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 68% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 77% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Lancaster City (H)L
Cleethorpes Town0–2
Cleethorpes Town0–2L
Leek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2W
Stockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0W
Ilkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1L
Curzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2D
Tadcaster Albion1–1
Tadcaster Albion1–1Guiseley AFC (A)D
Rylands1–1
Rylands1–1D
Redcar Athletic2–2
Redcar Athletic2–2WRylands3–1
Rylands3–1W
Leiston3–0
Leiston3–0W
Avro1–0
Avro1–0WIlkeston Town2–0
Ilkeston Town2–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lancaster City | Guiseley AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
5
Lancaster City
45%
6
Draws
55%
0
Guiseley AFC
0%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
73%
BTTS
8/11
28/08/26Lancaster City
Guiseley AFC
1–2Lancaster City07/02/26Lancaster City
Guiseley AFC
0–0Lancaster City27/09/25Guiseley AFC
Lancaster City
0–0Guiseley AFC01/02/25Lancaster City
Guiseley AFC
1–2Lancaster City15/10/24Guiseley AFC
Lancaster City
1–1Guiseley AFC30/03/24Lancaster City
Guiseley AFC
2–3Lancaster City26/08/23Guiseley AFC
Lancaster City
2–2Guiseley AFC22/04/23Guiseley AFC
Lancaster City
2–1Guiseley AFC21/02/23Lancaster City
Guiseley AFC
0–0Lancaster City11/12/18Lancaster City
Guiseley AFC
1–2Lancaster City24/11/18Guiseley AFC
Lancaster City
2–2Guiseley AFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 38 |
| 2 | Curzon Ashton | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | +14 | 37 |
| 3 | Cleethorpes Town | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +24 | 36 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 33 |
| 5 | Avro | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | +8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rylands | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +7 | 30 |
| 7 |  Workington | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 30 |
| 8 |  Bury | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +14 | 29 |
| 9 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 10 |  Warrington Town | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 21 |
| 14 | Lancaster City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 19 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -5 | 18 |
| 17 |  Hyde United | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 |  Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 17 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 17 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | -25 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -24 | 11 |
Team Insights
Lancaster City- ●Lancaster City have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have lost 5 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
Guiseley AFC- ●Guiseley AFC have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have won 5 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lancaster CityLHCleethorpes Town0–2
Cleethorpes Town0–2DAUnited of Manchester0–0
United of Manchester0–0LAAFC Emley0–1
AFC Emley0–1LHLeek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2WHStockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2–AGainsborough Trinity14/11
Gainsborough Trinity14/11–HAshton United21/11
Ashton United21/11–ARylands27/11
Rylands27/11Guiseley AFCDARylands1–1
Rylands1–1WHLeek Town4–1
Leek Town4–1DARedcar Athletic2–2
Redcar Athletic2–2WHCleethorpes Town2–1
Cleethorpes Town2–1WAAvro1–0
Avro1–0WAIlkeston Town2–0
Ilkeston Town2–0–HAshton United17/11
Ashton United17/11–AWarrington Town21/11
Warrington Town21/11–HWhitby Town28/11
Whitby Town28/11Top Scorers
Lancaster CityS. Yawson4 ⚽
C. Bailey3 ⚽
D. Lawson3 ⚽
J. Craig3 ⚽
S. Bailey3 ⚽
S. Sanogo2 ⚽
Guiseley AFCC. Wilson10 ⚽
A. Martin7 ⚽
J. Thewlis7 ⚽
E. Owen5 ⚽
A. Berchil3 ⚽
L. Mbeka3 ⚽
Cards Given
Lancaster CityJ. Nolan1 🟨
Guiseley AFCAmir Berchil1 🟨
Jack Tinker1 🟨
Oliver Brown1 🟨
1 🟨