Santiago Morning vs Lota Schwager — Segunda División
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Estadio Municipal de La Pintana·Santiago de Chile·Chile·6,000
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Santiago Morning and Lota Schwager meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Santiago Morning have recorded 3 wins from 19 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Lota Schwager have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.80 for Santiago Morning and 0.92 for Lota Schwager. The models give Santiago Morning a 31% win probability, with a draw at 33% and an Lota Schwager win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 25% and BTTS at 34%.
Season Statistics
Santiago Morning—
Lota Schwager13º
Position
10º
0.83
PPG
1.08
17%
Win %
25%
0.75
Goals / game
0.92
1.17
Conceded / game
1.08
58%
BTTS %
53%
21%
Clean sheet %
26%
37%
Over 2.5 %
32%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Santiago Morning
Home (6)
—
Lota Schwager
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.33
17%
Win %
33%
0.33
Goals / game
1.00
0.67
Conceded / game
0.83
30%
BTTS %
40%
40%
Clean sheet %
40%
20%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Santiago Morning | Home | Away | Lota Schwager | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 40% | 89% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 10% | 33% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 60% | 11% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Santiago Morning | Home | Away | Lota Schwager | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 60% | 100% | 74% | 89% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 10% | 44% | 26% | 44% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 40% | 0% | 26% | 11% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santiago Morning | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 58% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santiago Morning | Lota Schwager | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 21% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Santiago Morning (H)L
Real San Joaquín1–2
Real San Joaquín1–2D
General Velásquez0–0
General Velásquez0–0D
Provincial Ovalle0–0
Provincial Ovalle0–0W
Colina2–1
Colina2–1L
Linares Unido0–1
Linares Unido0–1LGeneral Velásquez0–1
General Velásquez0–1Lota Schwager (A)WGeneral Velásquez2–1
General Velásquez2–1WReal San Joaquín2–0
Real San Joaquín2–0DColina0–0
Colina0–0L
Deportes Rengo0–1
Deportes Rengo0–1W
Colchagua2–0
Colchagua2–0LGeneral Velásquez1–2
General Velásquez1–2Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Santiago Morning
0%
3
Draws
100%
0
Lota Schwager
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
22/08/26Santiago Morning
Lota Schwager
1–1Santiago Morning21/06/26Santiago Morning
Lota Schwager
1–1Santiago Morning19/04/26Lota Schwager
Santiago Morning
1–1Lota Schwager| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +10 | 24 |
| 1 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
Team Insights
Santiago Morning- ●Santiago Morning have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Santiago Morning failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●71% of Santiago Morning's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Santiago Morning's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Lota Schwager- ●Lota Schwager have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have won 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Lota Schwager have scored in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●63% of Lota Schwager's points have been earned away.
- ●Lota Schwager have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Santiago MorningLHReal San Joaquín1–2
Real San Joaquín1–2DHGeneral Velásquez0–0
General Velásquez0–0DADeportes Rengo2–2
Deportes Rengo2–2DHProvincial Ovalle0–0
Provincial Ovalle0–0DALota Schwager1–1
Lota Schwager1–1WHColina2–1
Colina2–1–AColina25/10
Colina25/10–HLota Schwager01/11
Lota Schwager01/11–AProvincial Ovalle08/11
Provincial Ovalle08/11Lota SchwagerWAGeneral Velásquez2–1
General Velásquez2–1WAReal San Joaquín2–0
Real San Joaquín2–0LHProvincial Ovalle1–2
Provincial Ovalle1–2DAColina0–0
Colina0–0DHSantiago Morning1–1
Santiago Morning1–1LADeportes Rengo0–1
Deportes Rengo0–1–HDeportes Rengo25/10
Deportes Rengo25/10–ASantiago Morning01/11
Santiago Morning01/11–HColina08/11
Colina08/11Top Scorers
Santiago MorningE. Rubio3 ⚽
M. Arancibia2 ⚽
M. Delgado2 ⚽
K. Rojas2 ⚽
J. Monje1 ⚽
M. Almuna1 ⚽
Lota SchwagerS. Torres4 ⚽
L. Quiroga3 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Pontigo2 ⚽
B. Hermosilla2 ⚽
C. Salas1 ⚽
Cards Given
Santiago Morning15 🟨
E. Rubio6 🟨
M. Almuna5 🟨
M. Delgado5 🟨
M. Arancibia4 🟨
C. Quezada4 🟨
Lota Schwager15 🟨
A. Ambiado7 🟨
L. Povea5 🟨
J. J. Contreras5 🟨
J. Reyes4 🟨
C. Salas2 🟨