Provincial Ovalle vs Santiago Morning — Segunda División
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Provincial Ovalle and Santiago Morning meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Provincial Ovalle have recorded 3 wins from 17 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Santiago Morning have won 17% of their 18 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Provincial Ovalle and 1.32 for Santiago Morning. The models give Provincial Ovalle a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Santiago Morning win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Provincial Ovalle—
Santiago Morning14º
Position
13º
0.50
PPG
0.83
8%
Win %
17%
0.92
Goals / game
0.75
2.00
Conceded / game
1.17
47%
BTTS %
56%
24%
Clean sheet %
22%
35%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Provincial Ovalle
Home (6)
—
Santiago Morning
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
0.83
17%
Win %
17%
0.83
Goals / game
1.17
1.83
Conceded / game
1.67
56%
BTTS %
89%
22%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Provincial Ovalle | Home | Away | Santiago Morning | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 78% | 38% | 61% | 33% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 22% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 22% | 63% | 39% | 67% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Provincial Ovalle | Home | Away | Santiago Morning | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 78% | 75% | 78% | 56% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 11% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 11% | 38% | 11% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 22% | 25% | 22% | 44% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Provincial Ovalle | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 47% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Provincial Ovalle | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Provincial Ovalle (H)W
Colina1–0
Colina1–0D
Real San Joaquín1–1
Real San Joaquín1–1WColina2–1
Colina2–1LReal San Joaquín1–6
Real San Joaquín1–6D
Trasandino1–1
Trasandino1–1D
Municipal Salamanca1–1
Municipal Salamanca1–1Santiago Morning (A)D
Deportes Rengo2–2
Deportes Rengo2–2D
Lota Schwager1–1
Lota Schwager1–1DReal San Joaquín2–2
Real San Joaquín2–2LDeportes Rengo1–3
Deportes Rengo1–3DLota Schwager1–1
Lota Schwager1–1D
Colchagua1–1
Colchagua1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Provincial Ovalle
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Santiago Morning
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
30/08/26Provincial Ovalle
Santiago Morning
0–0Provincial Ovalle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +10 | 24 |
| 1 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | +6 | 22 |
| 2 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 4 |  General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
Team Insights
Provincial Ovalle- ●Provincial Ovalle have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Provincial Ovalle have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●82% of Provincial Ovalle's points have been earned at home.
Santiago Morning- ●Santiago Morning have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Santiago Morning failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●75% of Santiago Morning's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Santiago Morning's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Santiago Morning have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Provincial OvalleWHColina1–0
Colina1–0DASantiago Morning0–0
Santiago Morning0–0DHReal San Joaquín1–1
Real San Joaquín1–1LAGeneral Velásquez0–1
General Velásquez0–1WHColina2–1
Colina2–1LASantiago City2–3
Santiago City2–3–ALota Schwager12/09
Lota Schwager12/09–HDeportes Rengo04/10
Deportes Rengo04/10–HGeneral Velásquez25/10
General Velásquez25/10Santiago MorningDHGeneral Velásquez0–0
General Velásquez0–0DADeportes Rengo2–2
Deportes Rengo2–2DHProvincial Ovalle0–0
Provincial Ovalle0–0DALota Schwager1–1
Lota Schwager1–1WHColina2–1
Colina2–1DAReal San Joaquín2–2
Real San Joaquín2–2–HReal San Joaquín11/10
Real San Joaquín11/10–AColina25/10
Colina25/10–HLota Schwager01/11
Lota Schwager01/11Top Scorers
Provincial Ovalle7 ⚽
C. Duma3 ⚽
R. Tarifeno3 ⚽
B. Cortes2 ⚽
L. Maluenda1 ⚽
D. Cuellar1 ⚽
Santiago MorningE. Rubio3 ⚽
M. Arancibia2 ⚽
M. Delgado2 ⚽
K. Rojas2 ⚽
J. Monje1 ⚽
M. Almuna1 ⚽
Cards Given
Provincial Ovalle14 🟨
J. Soto6 🟨
D. Ceron5 🟨
B. Castro3 🟨
B. Solano2 🟨
E. Millalen2 🟨
Santiago Morning10 🟨
E. Rubio6 🟨
M. Almuna5 🟨
M. Delgado5 🟨
M. Arancibia4 🟨
C. Quezada4 🟨