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Provincial Ovalle vs Lota Schwager — Segunda División

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Provincial Ovalle
Provincial Ovalle
14º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 50d 1h
vs
–
–
Lota Schwager
Lota Schwager
10º · 1.08 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
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Provincial Ovalle and Lota Schwager meet in the Segunda División 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Provincial Ovalle have recorded 4 wins from 19 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Lota Schwager have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 26%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.98 for Provincial Ovalle and 1.31 for Lota Schwager. The models give Provincial Ovalle a 30% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Lota Schwager win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Provincial Ovalle
—
Lota Schwager
14º
Position
10º
0.50
PPG
1.08
8%
Win %
25%
0.92
Goals / game
0.92
2.00
Conceded / game
1.08
53%
BTTS %
53%
21%
Clean sheet %
26%
42%
Over 2.5 %
32%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Provincial Ovalle
Home (6)
—
Lota Schwager
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.33
17%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.83
Conceded / game
0.83
60%
BTTS %
40%
20%
Clean sheet %
40%
40%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Provincial OvalleHomeAwayLota SchwagerHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored63%80%44%74%78%70%
Over 1.5 Scored32%20%44%26%22%30%
Over 2.5 Scored5%10%0%5%11%0%
Failed To Score37%20%56%26%22%30%

Goals Conceded

Provincial OvalleHomeAwayLota SchwagerHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%80%78%74%89%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded32%20%44%26%44%10%
Over 2.5 Conceded26%20%33%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets21%20%22%26%11%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Provincial OvalleLota Schwager
Over 0.589%95%
Over 1.563%68%
Over 2.542%32%
Over 3.532%11%
Over 4.532%0%
BTTS53%53%
BTTS & Win11%11%
BTTS & Draw16%26%
BTTS & Over 2.537%32%
BTTS No & Over 2.55%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Provincial OvalleLota Schwager
Win 1st Half21%21%
Draw 1st Half47%47%
Loss 1st Half32%32%
Scored 1st Half32%32%
Conceded 1st Half47%42%
Win 2nd Half32%42%
Draw 2nd Half16%37%
Loss 2nd Half53%21%
Scored 2nd Half47%53%
Conceded 2nd Half53%32%
Over 0.5 HT63%58%
Over 1.5 HT42%26%

Recent Venue Form

Provincial Ovalle (H)
LDeportes Rengo1–5
WColina1–0
DReal San Joaquín1–1
WColina2–1
LReal San Joaquín1–6
DTrasandino1–1
Lota Schwager (A)
WGeneral Velásquez2–1
WReal San Joaquín2–0
DColina0–0
LDeportes Rengo0–1
WColchagua2–0
LGeneral Velásquez1–2

Head to Head · 1 matches

1
Provincial Ovalle
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Lota Schwager
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
26/09/26
Lota Schwager
1–2
Provincial Ovalle
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Provincial Osorno12660+1024
1Municipal Salamanca12570+622
2Colchagua12642+422
4Concón National12633+621
4Trasandino12534+218
4General Velásquez12516-416
5Santiago City12552-120
5Real San Joaquín12345-113
6Linares Unido12615+419
7Provincial Ovalle12138-136
10Lota Schwager12345-213
11Colina12336+112
12Deportes Rengo12327-711
13Santiago Morning12246-510

Team Insights

Provincial Ovalle
  • ●Provincial Ovalle have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
  • ●Provincial Ovalle failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●Provincial Ovalle have lost 6 of their 9 away matches.
Lota Schwager
  • ●Lota Schwager have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
  • ●Lota Schwager have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lota Schwager have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Lota Schwager failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
  • ●Lota Schwager have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 away matches.
  • ●Lota Schwager have won 4 of their 10 away matches.
  • ●Lota Schwager have scored in 7 of their 10 away matches.
  • ●63% of Lota Schwager's points have been earned away.
  • ●Lota Schwager have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
LHDeportes Rengo12º1–5
LHDeportes Rengo6º1–5
LHDeportes Rengo6º1–5
LHDeportes Rengo11º1–5
WALota Schwager10º2–1
WALota Schwager5º2–1
WALota Schwager5º2–1
WALota Schwager9º2–1
WHColina11º1–0
WHColina6º1–0

Season Schedule

Provincial Ovalle
LHDeportes Rengo1–5
WALota Schwager2–1
WHColina1–0
DASantiago Morning0–0
DHReal San Joaquín1–1
LAGeneral Velásquez0–1
–HGeneral Velásquez25/10
–AReal San Joaquín01/11
–HSantiago Morning08/11
Lota Schwager
WAGeneral Velásquez2–1
WAReal San Joaquín2–0
LHProvincial Ovalle1–2
DAColina0–0
DHSantiago Morning1–1
LADeportes Rengo0–1
–HDeportes Rengo25/10
–ASantiago Morning01/11
–HColina08/11

Top Scorers

Provincial Ovalle
7 ⚽
C. Duma5 ⚽
R. Tarifeno4 ⚽
B. Cortes2 ⚽
L. Maluenda1 ⚽
D. Cuellar1 ⚽
Lota Schwager
S. Torres4 ⚽
L. Quiroga3 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Pontigo2 ⚽
B. Hermosilla2 ⚽
C. Salas1 ⚽

Cards Given

Provincial Ovalle
22 🟨
J. Soto6 🟨
D. Ceron5 🟨
B. Castro3 🟨
B. Solano2 🟨
E. Millalen2 🟨
Lota Schwager
15 🟨
A. Ambiado7 🟨
L. Povea5 🟨
J. J. Contreras5 🟨
J. Reyes4 🟨
C. Salas2 🟨