Chelsea W vs Arsenal W — FA WSL
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Chelsea W and Arsenal W meet in the FA WSL 2026 season on 27 September 2026. Chelsea W have recorded 4 wins from 5 matches this season (80% win rate), averaging 2.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Arsenal W have won 60% of their 5 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Chelsea W and 1.52 for Arsenal W. The models give Chelsea W a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Arsenal W win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chelsea W | Home | Away | Arsenal W | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelsea W | Home | Away | Arsenal W | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 33% | 100% | 60% | 50% | 100% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelsea W | Arsenal W | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelsea W | Arsenal W | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 80% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chelsea W | Arsenal W |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 4 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | |
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 | |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 | |
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●Chelsea W have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Chelsea W have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●62% of Chelsea W's goals have been scored away.
- ●Arsenal W have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.