Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W — FA WSL
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Emirates Stadium·London·England·60,383
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Arsenal W and Birmingham City W meet in the FA WSL 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Arsenal W have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Birmingham City W have won 0% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 2.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Arsenal W and 1.12 for Birmingham City W. The models give Arsenal W a 58% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Birmingham City W win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Arsenal W—
Birmingham City W10º
Position
13º
1.00
PPG
0.40
20%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
1.40
1.20
Conceded / game
2.40
44%
BTTS %
71%
44%
Clean sheet %
0%
44%
Over 2.5 %
71%
9.0
Avg corners
4.2
18.7
Avg shots
11.4
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.2
0.7
Avg yellow cards
0.6
8.9
Avg fouls
10.0
60.7%
Avg possession
35.6%
Home vs Away
Arsenal W
Home (2)
—
Birmingham City W
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.50
Goals / game
0.67
0.50
Conceded / game
2.33
40%
BTTS %
50%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
9.0
Avg corners
4.2
18.7
Avg shots
11.4
5.9
Avg shots on target
4.2
0.7
Avg yellow cards
0.6
60.7%
Avg possession
35.6%
Goals Scored
| Arsenal W | Home | Away | Birmingham City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Arsenal W | Home | Away | Birmingham City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 60% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arsenal W | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS | 44% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arsenal W | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 100% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Arsenal W (H)W
Køge W1–0
Køge W1–0D
Manchester United W1–1
Manchester United W1–1D
Crystal Palace W0–0
Crystal Palace W0–0W
Everton W1–0
Everton W1–0W
Leicester City FC W7–0
Leicester City FC W7–0W
Lyon W2–1
Lyon W2–1Birmingham City (A)LEverton W1–2
Everton W1–2LEverton W0–2
Everton W0–2L
Chelsea W0–2
Chelsea W0–2L
Manchester City W1–3
Manchester City W1–3W
Charlton Athletic W2–0
Charlton Athletic W2–0W
Bristol City W1–0
Bristol City W1–0Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
10.4
35 games
13.2
Corners / Match
5 games
| Match Corners | Arsenal W | Birmingham City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 97% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 86% | 100% | 54% |
| Over 10 | 71% | 100% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 80% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 60% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 40% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arsenal W | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 9.0 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 1.9 | 9.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 86% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 43% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
8
Arsenal W
80%
0
Draws
0%
2
Birmingham City
20%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
70%
Over 2.5
7/10
50%
Over 3.5
5/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
06/03/22Birmingham City W
Arsenal W
4–2Birmingham City W09/01/22Arsenal W
Birmingham City W
2–0Arsenal W07/03/21Arsenal W
Birmingham City W
0–4Arsenal W06/12/20Birmingham City W
Arsenal W
3–0Birmingham City W05/01/20Birmingham City W
Arsenal W
2–0Birmingham City W31/03/19Arsenal W
Birmingham City W
0–1Arsenal W04/11/18Birmingham City W
Arsenal W
3–1Birmingham City W29/04/18Arsenal W
Birmingham City W
3–0Arsenal W24/09/17Birmingham City W
Arsenal W
3–2Birmingham City W20/05/17Birmingham City W
Arsenal W
4–2Birmingham City W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 | Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 |  West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 |  Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Birmingham City W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Arsenal W- ●Arsenal W have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Arsenal W have lost their last 2 away matches.
Birmingham City- ●Birmingham City W have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Birmingham City W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Birmingham City W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Birmingham City W have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Birmingham City W have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Arsenal WLAManchester City W2–4
Manchester City W2–4LAChelsea W0–1
Chelsea W0–1DHManchester United W1–1
Manchester United W1–1DHCrystal Palace W0–0
Crystal Palace W0–0WABrighton W1–0
Brighton W1–0–HBirmingham City W17/10
Birmingham City W17/10–ATottenham Hotspur W24/10
Tottenham Hotspur W24/10–HAston Villa W01/11
Aston Villa W01/11Birmingham CityLAEverton W1–2
Everton W1–2DHCrystal Palace W3–3
Crystal Palace W3–3LAChelsea W0–2
Chelsea W0–2DHBrighton W2–2
Brighton W2–2LAManchester City W1–3
Manchester City W1–3–AArsenal W17/10
Arsenal W17/10–HCharlton Athletic W25/10
Charlton Athletic W25/10–HTottenham Hotspur W01/11
Tottenham Hotspur W01/11Top Scorers
Arsenal WA. Russo2 ⚽
O. Smith2 ⚽
Alessia Russo2 ⚽
Georgia Stanway1 ⚽
F. Leonhardsen-Maanum1 ⚽
C. Wubben-Moy1 ⚽
Birmingham CityOceane Hurtre3 ⚽
O. Hurtre2 ⚽
M. Levasseur1 ⚽
L. Crosthwaite1 ⚽
Lee Geum-Min1 ⚽
Suzu Amano1 ⚽
Cards Given
Arsenal WGeorgia Stanway1 🟨
K. Little1 🟨
L. Baum1 🟨
L. Williamson1 🟨
Olivia Smith1 🟨
Birmingham CityC. Effa Effa1 🟨
Oceane Hurtre1 🟨
W. Leidhammar1 🟨