Manchester United W vs Manchester City W — FA WSL
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Manchester United W and Manchester City W meet in the FA WSL 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Manchester United W have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Manchester City W have won 71% of their 7 matches, with 2.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Manchester United W and 1.94 for Manchester City W. The models give Manchester United W a 28% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Manchester City W win at 48%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Manchester United W—
Manchester City W7º
Position
1º
1.40
PPG
3.00
40%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
3.20
1.80
Conceded / game
1.20
71%
BTTS %
86%
14%
Clean sheet %
14%
71%
Over 2.5 %
71%
2.8
Avg corners
7.0
6.8
Avg shots
17.3
2.8
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.4
8.6
Avg fouls
7.7
44.4%
Avg possession
61.0%
Home vs Away
Manchester United W
Home (3)
—
Manchester City W
Away (2)
2.00
PPG
3.00
67%
Win %
100%
1.00
Goals / game
2.50
2.00
Conceded / game
0.50
50%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
2.8
Avg corners
7.0
6.8
Avg shots
17.3
2.8
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.4
44.4%
Avg possession
61.0%
Goals Scored
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 25% | 33% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Manchester City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 75% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester United | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 43% |
| BTTS | 71% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester United | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 86% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchester United (H)W
Liverpool W1–0
Liverpool W1–0W
West Ham W2–1
West Ham W2–1W
Sheffield United W10–1
Sheffield United W10–1L
Chelsea W0–5
Chelsea W0–5D
Brighton W1–1
Brighton W1–1LManchester City W0–3
Manchester City W0–3Manchester City (A)W
Charlton Athletic W1–0
Charlton Athletic W1–0D
Bayern Munich W2–2
Bayern Munich W2–2W
Aston Villa W4–1
Aston Villa W4–1WBrighton W4–0
Brighton W4–0WWest Ham W4–1
West Ham W4–1WChelsea W3–2
Chelsea W3–2Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
10.4
35 games
10.7
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Manchester United | Manchester City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 86% | 97% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 8 | 80% | 86% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 71% | 54% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 71% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 43% | 31% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 14% | 23% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Manchester United | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.8 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.2 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 60% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 80% | 29% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
4
Manchester United
20%
5
Draws
25%
11
Manchester City
55%
85%
Over 1.5
17/20
75%
Over 2.5
15/20
40%
Over 3.5
8/20
65%
BTTS
13/20
28/03/26Manchester City W
Manchester United W
0–3Manchester City W15/11/25Manchester United W
Manchester City W
3–0Manchester United W04/05/25Manchester City W
Manchester United W
2–2Manchester City W13/04/25Manchester United W
Manchester City W
0–2Manchester United W22/01/25Manchester City W
Manchester United W
1–2Manchester City W19/01/25Manchester United W
Manchester City W
2–4Manchester United W23/03/24Manchester United W
Manchester City W
3–1Manchester United W24/01/24Manchester United W
Manchester City W
2–1Manchester United W19/11/23Manchester City W
Manchester United W
1–3Manchester City W21/05/23Manchester City W
Manchester United W
2–1Manchester City W11/12/22Manchester United W
Manchester City W
1–1Manchester United W27/02/22Manchester City W
Manchester United W
1–4Manchester City W13/02/22Manchester United W
Manchester City W
1–0Manchester United W17/11/21Manchester City W
Manchester United W
2–1Manchester City W09/10/21Manchester City W
Manchester United W
2–2Manchester City W12/02/21Manchester United W
Manchester City W
3–0Manchester United W19/11/20Manchester City W
Manchester United W
0–0Manchester City W15/11/20Manchester City W
Manchester United W
2–2Manchester City W25/01/20Manchester City W
Manchester United W
2–3Manchester City W07/09/19Manchester United W
Manchester City W
1–0Manchester United W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 |  Birmingham City W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Manchester United- ●Manchester United W have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Manchester United W have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●67% of Manchester United W's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●86% of Manchester United W's points have been earned at home.
Manchester City- ●Manchester City W have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Manchester City W have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Manchester City W have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Manchester City W have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Manchester City W's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Manchester UnitedWHLiverpool W1–0
Liverpool W1–0WHWest Ham W2–1
West Ham W2–1DAArsenal W1–1
Arsenal W1–1LHChelsea W0–5
Chelsea W0–5LALondon City Lionesses W1–2
London City Lionesses W1–2–ACharlton Athletic W18/10
Charlton Athletic W18/10–HManchester City W25/10
Manchester City W25/10–AEverton W31/10
Everton W31/10Manchester CityWHArsenal W4–2
Arsenal W4–2WACharlton Athletic W1–0
Charlton Athletic W1–0WHLiverpool W4–2
Liverpool W4–2WAAston Villa W4–1
Aston Villa W4–1WHBirmingham City W3–1
Birmingham City W3–1–HBrighton W18/10
Brighton W18/10–AManchester United W25/10
Manchester United W25/10–ALondon City Lionesses W01/11
London City Lionesses W01/11Top Scorers
Manchester UnitedM. Griffiths4 ⚽
R. Bernal3 ⚽
L. Schuller2 ⚽
E. Terland1 ⚽
J. Simpson1 ⚽
Elisabeth Terland1 ⚽
Manchester CityK. Shaw4 ⚽
Khadija Shaw2 ⚽
L. Hemp2 ⚽
Lauren Hemp2 ⚽
M. Fowler2 ⚽
Kerstin·Casparij1 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchester UnitedAana Sandberg1 🟨
Andrea Medina1 🟨
Julia Zigiotti1 🟨
Julia Zigiotti Olme1 🟨
Maya Le Tissier1 🟨
R. Bernal1 🟨
Manchester CityB. Mead1 🟨
Kerstin·Casparij1 🟨
Samantha Coffey1 🟨