Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W — FA WSL
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Emirates Stadium·London·England·60,383
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Arsenal W and Aston Villa W meet in the FA WSL 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Arsenal W have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Aston Villa W have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Arsenal W and 1.13 for Aston Villa W. The models give Arsenal W a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Aston Villa W win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Arsenal W—
Aston Villa W8º
Position
10º
1.00
PPG
1.00
17%
Win %
17%
0.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
75%
40%
Clean sheet %
13%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
9.3
Avg corners
2.5
19.8
Avg shots
7.2
5.6
Avg shots on target
2.8
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
8.9
Avg fouls
6.8
62.6%
Avg possession
40.0%
Home vs Away
Arsenal W
Home (3)
—
Aston Villa W
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.67
0%
Win %
0%
0.67
Goals / game
0.67
0.67
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
33%
Over 2.5 %
25%
9.3
Avg corners
2.5
19.8
Avg shots
7.2
5.6
Avg shots on target
2.8
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
62.6%
Avg possession
40.0%
Goals Scored
| Arsenal W | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 83% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 17% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Arsenal W | Home | Away | Aston Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 17% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arsenal W | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arsenal W | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Arsenal W (H)D
Birmingham City W1–1
Birmingham City W1–1W
Køge W1–0
Køge W1–0D
Manchester United W1–1
Manchester United W1–1D
Crystal Palace W0–0
Crystal Palace W0–0W
Everton W1–0
Everton W1–0W
Leicester City FC W7–0
Leicester City FC W7–0Aston Villa (A)L
Tottenham Hotspur W0–4
Tottenham Hotspur W0–4W
Nottingham Forest W2–0
Nottingham Forest W2–0D
Brighton W1–1
Brighton W1–1D
Chelsea W1–1
Chelsea W1–1L
London City Lionesses W1–2
London City Lionesses W1–2LChelsea W3–4
Chelsea W3–4Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.1
42 games
10.8
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Arsenal W | Aston Villa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 88% | 100% | 76% |
| Over 9 | 88% | 67% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 75% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 33% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 17% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arsenal W | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 9.3 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 1.8 | 8.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 88% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 38% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 83% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
11
Arsenal W
73%
2
Draws
13%
2
Aston Villa
13%
93%
Over 1.5
14/15
73%
Over 2.5
11/15
53%
Over 3.5
8/15
33%
BTTS
5/15
09/05/26Arsenal W
Aston Villa W
0–3Arsenal W18/01/26Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
2–0Aston Villa W27/09/25Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
1–1Aston Villa W30/04/25Arsenal W
Aston Villa W
5–2Arsenal W08/12/24Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
4–0Aston Villa W24/03/24Arsenal W
Aston Villa W
1–3Arsenal W06/03/24Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
4–0Aston Villa W15/10/23Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
2–1Aston Villa W27/05/23Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
0–2Aston Villa W26/01/23Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
3–0Aston Villa W11/12/22Arsenal W
Aston Villa W
1–4Arsenal W01/05/22Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
7–0Aston Villa W02/10/21Arsenal W
Aston Villa W
0–4Arsenal W09/05/21Aston Villa W
Arsenal W
0–0Aston Villa W28/02/21Arsenal W
Aston Villa W
0–4Arsenal W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 15 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Manchester United W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Everton W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Liverpool W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | Arsenal W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 |  West Ham W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Brighton W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham City W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -15 | 0 |
Team Insights
Arsenal W- ●Arsenal W have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Arsenal W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Arsenal W have lost their last 2 away matches.
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
Season Schedule
Arsenal WDHBirmingham City W1–1
Birmingham City W1–1LAManchester City W2–4
Manchester City W2–4LAChelsea W0–1
Chelsea W0–1DHManchester United W1–1
Manchester United W1–1DHCrystal Palace W0–0
Crystal Palace W0–0WABrighton W1–0
Brighton W1–0–ATottenham Hotspur W24/10
Tottenham Hotspur W24/10–HAston Villa W01/11
Aston Villa W01/11–ALiverpool W07/11
Liverpool W07/11Aston VillaWHLiverpool W2–1
Liverpool W2–1DHCrystal Palace W1–1
Crystal Palace W1–1LATottenham Hotspur W0–4
Tottenham Hotspur W0–4DABrighton W1–1
Brighton W1–1LHManchester City W1–4
Manchester City W1–4DAChelsea W1–1
Chelsea W1–1–AEverton W25/10
Everton W25/10–AArsenal W01/11
Arsenal W01/11–HManchester United W07/11
Manchester United W07/11Top Scorers
Arsenal WA. Russo2 ⚽
O. Smith2 ⚽
Alessia Russo2 ⚽
Georgia Stanway1 ⚽
F. Leonhardsen-Maanum1 ⚽
C. Wubben-Moy1 ⚽
Aston VillaL. Kendall2 ⚽
C. Grant1 ⚽
Chasity Grant1 ⚽
L. Murphy1 ⚽
L. Wilms1 ⚽
M. Hijikata1 ⚽
Cards Given
Arsenal WGeorgia Stanway2 🟨
K. Little1 🟨
L. Baum1 🟨
L. Williamson1 🟨
Olivia Smith1 🟨
Aston VillaJ. Kielland1 🟨
M. Taylor1 🟨
Mia McAulay1 🟨
N. Maritz1 🟨
Noelle Maritz1 🟨
Océane Deslandes1 🟨