England · FA WSL · Regular Season - 10

Chelsea W

1º · 2.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 16d 20h

–

Manchester City W

2º · 2.71 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 19d 20h

Stamford Bridge·London·England·41,841

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Chelsea W and Manchester City W meet in the FA WSL 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Chelsea W have recorded 10 wins from 12 matches this season (83% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Manchester City W have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 2.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 89%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Chelsea W and 1.57 for Manchester City W. The models give Chelsea W a 44% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Manchester City W win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Chelsea W

—

Manchester City W

1º

Position

2º

2.71

PPG

2.71

86%

Win %

86%

3.00

Goals / game

2.86

0.57

Conceded / game

1.29

33%

BTTS %

89%

67%

Clean sheet %

11%

42%

Over 2.5 %

67%

7.3

Avg corners

7.1

18.7

Avg shots

17.2

6.8

Avg shots on target

6.0

1.0

Avg yellow cards

0.6

8.8

Avg fouls

8.1

63.1%

Avg possession

60.1%

Home vs Away

Chelsea W

Home (4)

—

Manchester City W

Away (3)

2.50

PPG

2.33

75%

Win %

67%

2.50

Goals / game

2.00

0.75

Conceded / game

0.67

43%

BTTS %

75%

57%

Clean sheet %

25%

29%

Over 2.5 %

50%

7.3

Avg corners

7.1

18.7

Avg shots

17.2

6.8

Avg shots on target

6.0

1.0

Avg yellow cards

0.6

63.1%

Avg possession

60.1%

Goals Scored

	Chelsea W	Home	Away	Manchester City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	92%	100%	80%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	58%	57%	60%	67%	80%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	42%	29%	60%	56%	80%	25%
Failed To Score	8%	0%	20%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Chelsea W	Home	Away	Manchester City	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	33%	43%	20%	89%	100%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	17%	29%	0%	44%	60%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	67%	57%	80%	11%	0%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Chelsea W	Manchester City
Over 0.5	92%	100%
Over 1.5	67%	89%
Over 2.5	42%	67%
Over 3.5	33%	67%
Over 4.5	25%	44%
BTTS	33%	89%
BTTS & Win	25%	56%
BTTS & Draw	8%	33%
BTTS & Over 2.5	25%	67%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	17%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Chelsea W	Manchester City
Win 1st Half	50%	33%
Draw 1st Half	42%	44%
Loss 1st Half	8%	22%
Scored 1st Half	67%	67%
Conceded 1st Half	25%	67%
Win 2nd Half	67%	67%
Draw 2nd Half	25%	33%
Loss 2nd Half	8%	0%
Scored 2nd Half	67%	78%
Conceded 2nd Half	25%	33%
Over 0.5 HT	75%	78%
Over 1.5 HT	25%	56%

Recent Venue Form

Chelsea W (H)

Roma W2–0

Tottenham Hotspur W6–2

Arsenal W1–0

Austria Wien W1–0

Birmingham City W2–0

Aston Villa W1–1

Manchester City (A)

Manchester United W1–1

Charlton Athletic W1–0

Bayern Munich W2–2

Aston Villa W4–1

Brighton W4–0

West Ham W4–1

Number of Corners

9.8

Corners / Match

11 games

League Avg

10.2

49 games

10.4

Corners / Match

9 games

Match Corners	Chelsea W	Manchester City	League Avg
Over 6	82%	89%	96%
Over 7	64%	89%	84%
Over 8	55%	89%	78%
Over 9	45%	67%	57%
Over 10	45%	56%	39%
Over 11	36%	33%	29%
Over 12	36%	11%	18%
Over 13	9%	11%	12%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Chelsea W	Manchester City
Corners Earned / Match	7.3	7.1
Corners Against / Match	2.5	3.3
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	91%	89%
Over 4.5 Corners For	73%	89%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	36%	67%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	27%	22%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	18%	22%

Head to Head · 30 matches

Chelsea W

53%

Draws

23%

Manchester City

23%

77%

Over 1.5

23/30

57%

Over 2.5

17/30

37%

Over 3.5

11/30

50%

BTTS

15/30

10/05/26

Chelsea W

2–3

Manchester City W

01/02/26

Manchester City W

5–1

Chelsea W

21/01/26

Manchester City W

0–1

Chelsea W

05/09/25

Chelsea W

2–1

Manchester City W

27/03/25

Chelsea W

3–0

Manchester City W

23/03/25

Manchester City W

1–2

Chelsea W

19/03/25

Manchester City W

2–0

Chelsea W

15/03/25

Chelsea W

2–1

Manchester City W

16/11/24

Chelsea W

2–0

Manchester City W

07/03/24

Manchester City W

0–1

Chelsea W

16/02/24

Chelsea W

0–1

Manchester City W

08/10/23

Manchester City W

1–1

Chelsea W

26/03/23

Manchester City W

2–0

Chelsea W

25/09/22

Chelsea W

2–0

Manchester City W

15/05/22

Chelsea W

3–2

Manchester City W

05/03/22

Chelsea W

1–3

Manchester City W

06/02/22

Chelsea W

1–0

Manchester City W

14/11/21

Manchester City W

0–4

Chelsea W

31/10/21

Manchester City W

0–3

Chelsea W

21/04/21

Manchester City W

2–2

Chelsea W

FA WSL

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chelsea W	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	Manchester City W	7	6	1	0	+11	19
3	London City Lionesses W	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Manchester United W	7	3	2	2	-2	11
5	Tottenham Hotspur W	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Arsenal W	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Everton W	7	3	0	4	-2	9
8	Aston Villa W	7	2	3	2	-5	9
9	Brighton W	7	2	2	3	+3	8
10	Liverpool W	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	Birmingham City W	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	West Ham W	7	2	0	5	-8	6
13	Crystal Palace W	7	1	3	3	-9	6
14	Charlton Athletic W	7	0	0	7	-16	0

Team Insights

Chelsea W

●Chelsea W have won their last 6 matches.
●Chelsea W have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
●Chelsea W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Chelsea W have won their last 3 home matches.
●Chelsea W have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
●Chelsea W have won their last 3 away matches.
●Chelsea W have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.