Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W — FA WSL
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Aston Villa W and Birmingham City W meet in the FA WSL 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Aston Villa W have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Birmingham City W have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Aston Villa W and 1.41 for Birmingham City W. The models give Aston Villa W a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Birmingham City W win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Aston Villa W—
Birmingham City W8º
Position
11º
1.29
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
14%
1.29
Goals / game
1.29
2.00
Conceded / game
1.86
70%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
2.6
Avg corners
4.1
7.7
Avg shots
11.7
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.9
0.9
Avg yellow cards
0.7
6.7
Avg fouls
9.7
40.7%
Avg possession
37.4%
Home vs Away
Aston Villa W
Home (3)
—
Birmingham City W
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
0.25
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.75
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
100%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
2.6
Avg corners
4.1
7.7
Avg shots
11.7
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.9
0.9
Avg yellow cards
0.7
40.7%
Avg possession
37.4%
Goals Scored
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Birmingham City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 83% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 25% | 17% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Birmingham City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 67% | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 25% | 17% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aston Villa | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aston Villa | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 70% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Aston Villa (H)W
Liverpool W2–1
Liverpool W2–1D
Crystal Palace W1–1
Crystal Palace W1–1W
Newcastle United W3–1
Newcastle United W3–1L
Manchester City W1–4
Manchester City W1–4L
Arsenal W0–3
Arsenal W0–3L
West Ham W0–2
West Ham W0–2Birmingham City (A)W
Durham W5–0
Durham W5–0DArsenal W1–1
Arsenal W1–1L
Everton W1–2
Everton W1–2LEverton W0–2
Everton W0–2L
Chelsea W0–2
Chelsea W0–2LManchester City W1–3
Manchester City W1–3Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
10.2
49 games
12.9
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Aston Villa | Birmingham City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 100% | 96% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 100% | 84% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 100% | 39% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 86% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 43% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 29% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aston Villa | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.6 | 8.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 43% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 29% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 86% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 100% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Aston Villa
20%
2
Draws
40%
2
Birmingham City
40%
40%
Over 1.5
2/5
20%
Over 2.5
1/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
21/11/25Birmingham City W
Aston Villa W
3–3Birmingham City W08/05/22Birmingham City W
Aston Villa W
0–1Birmingham City W14/11/21Aston Villa W
Birmingham City W
0–1Aston Villa W28/04/21Aston Villa W
Birmingham City W
1–1Aston Villa W15/11/20Birmingham City W
Aston Villa W
0–1Birmingham City W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 19 |
| 2 | Manchester City W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Manchester United W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Arsenal W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Aston Villa W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 |  Brighton W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 8 |
| 10 | Liverpool W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Birmingham City W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | West Ham W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 0 |
Team Insights
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa W have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Aston Villa W failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
Birmingham City- ●Birmingham City W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of Birmingham City W's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Birmingham City W's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Aston VillaWAEverton W3–2
Everton W3–2WHLiverpool W2–1
Liverpool W2–1DHCrystal Palace W1–1
Crystal Palace W1–1LATottenham Hotspur W0–4
Tottenham Hotspur W0–4DABrighton W1–1
Brighton W1–1LHManchester City W1–4
Manchester City W1–4–AArsenal W01/11
Arsenal W01/11–HManchester United W07/11
Manchester United W07/11–HBirmingham City W15/11
Birmingham City W15/11Birmingham CityWHCharlton Athletic W1–0
Charlton Athletic W1–0DAArsenal W1–1
Arsenal W1–1LAEverton W1–2
Everton W1–2DHCrystal Palace W3–3
Crystal Palace W3–3LAChelsea W0–2
Chelsea W0–2DHBrighton W2–2
Brighton W2–2–HTottenham Hotspur W01/11
Tottenham Hotspur W01/11–ALondon City Lionesses W07/11
London City Lionesses W07/11–AAston Villa W15/11
Aston Villa W15/11Top Scorers
Aston VillaNoelle Maritz2 ⚽
Amalie Vangsgaard2 ⚽
L. Kendall2 ⚽
L. Murphy2 ⚽
G. Mullet1 ⚽
M. Hijikata1 ⚽
Birmingham CityOceane Hurtre4 ⚽
L. Crosthwaite2 ⚽
V. Sarri2 ⚽
W. Leidhammar2 ⚽
O. Hurtre2 ⚽
Wilma Maria Leidhammar1 ⚽
Cards Given
Aston VillaJ. Kielland1 🟨
M. Taylor1 🟨
Mia McAulay1 🟨
N. Maritz1 🟨
Noelle Maritz1 🟨
Océane Deslandes1 🟨
Birmingham CityAsato Miyagawa1 🟨
C. Effa Effa1 🟨
Neve Grace Herron1 🟨
Oceane Hurtre1 🟨
W. Leidhammar1 🟨