Birmingham City W vs Manchester United W — FA WSL
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St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park·Birmingham·England·30,009
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Birmingham City W and Manchester United W meet in the FA WSL 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Birmingham City W have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Manchester United W have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 2.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Birmingham City W and 1.76 for Manchester United W. The models give Birmingham City W a 36% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Manchester United W win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham City W—
Manchester United W12º
Position
5º
0.75
PPG
1.50
13%
Win %
38%
1.25
Goals / game
1.13
2.13
Conceded / game
1.38
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Clean sheet %
25%
58%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.0
Avg corners
3.1
12.0
Avg shots
9.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
9.8
Avg fouls
8.3
37.1%
Avg possession
49.3%
Home vs Away
Birmingham City W
Home (4)
—
Manchester United W
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
1.25
25%
Win %
25%
1.75
Goals / game
1.25
2.25
Conceded / game
1.00
80%
BTTS %
83%
20%
Clean sheet %
17%
80%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.0
Avg corners
3.1
12.0
Avg shots
9.0
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.5
37.1%
Avg possession
49.3%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham City | Home | Away | Manchester United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 71% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 14% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 14% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 29% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham City | Home | Away | Manchester United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 80% | 86% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 57% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 60% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 20% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham City | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS | 67% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 42% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham City | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 58% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham City (H)L
Tottenham Hotspur W1–4
Tottenham Hotspur W1–4W
Charlton Athletic W1–0
Charlton Athletic W1–0L
Liverpool W3–4
Liverpool W3–4D
Crystal Palace W3–3
Crystal Palace W3–3D
Brighton W2–2
Brighton W2–2L
Ipswich Town W0–3
Ipswich Town W0–3Manchester United (A)D
Everton W0–0
Everton W0–0WLiverpool W5–3
Liverpool W5–3WCharlton Athletic W3–1
Charlton Athletic W3–1W
Durham W5–1
Durham W5–1D
Arsenal W1–1
Arsenal W1–1L
London City Lionesses W1–2
London City Lionesses W1–2Number of Corners
12.8
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.0
56 games
9.3
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Birmingham City | Manchester United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 63% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 63% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 100% | 25% | 36% |
| Over 11 | 88% | 25% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 0% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Birmingham City | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.8 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 63% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Birmingham City
0%
0
Draws
0%
4
Manchester United
100%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
15/01/22Birmingham City W
Manchester United W
5–0Birmingham City W03/10/21Manchester United W
Birmingham City W
0–2Manchester United W24/01/21Birmingham City W
Manchester United W
2–0Birmingham City W13/09/20Manchester United W
Birmingham City W
2–5Manchester United W| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chelsea W | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +23 | 22 |
| 2 |  Manchester City W | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 5 | Manchester United W | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Brighton W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Arsenal W | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa W | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 |  West Ham W | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Liverpool W | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Birmingham City W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace W | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -22 | 0 |
Team Insights
Birmingham City- ●Birmingham City W have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Birmingham City W have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●70% of Birmingham City W's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Birmingham City W's points have been earned at home.
Manchester United- ●Manchester United W have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Manchester United W have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Manchester United W have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Manchester United W have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Birmingham CityLHTottenham Hotspur W1–4
Tottenham Hotspur W1–4WHCharlton Athletic W1–0
Charlton Athletic W1–0DAArsenal W1–1
Arsenal W1–1LAEverton W1–2
Everton W1–2DHCrystal Palace W3–3
Crystal Palace W3–3LAChelsea W0–2
Chelsea W0–2–ALondon City Lionesses W07/11
London City Lionesses W07/11–AAston Villa W15/11
Aston Villa W15/11–HManchester United W22/11
Manchester United W22/11Manchester UnitedDAEverton W0–0
Everton W0–0DHManchester City W1–1
Manchester City W1–1WACharlton Athletic W3–1
Charlton Athletic W3–1WHLiverpool W1–0
Liverpool W1–0WHWest Ham W2–1
West Ham W2–1DAArsenal W1–1
Arsenal W1–1–AAston Villa W07/11
Aston Villa W07/11–HCrystal Palace W15/11
Crystal Palace W15/11–ABirmingham City W22/11
Birmingham City W22/11Top Scorers
Birmingham CityOceane Hurtre4 ⚽
L. Crosthwaite2 ⚽
V. Sarri2 ⚽
W. Leidhammar2 ⚽
O. Hurtre2 ⚽
Suzu Amano1 ⚽
Manchester UnitedM. Griffiths6 ⚽
L. Schuller5 ⚽
R. Bernal3 ⚽
Elisabeth Terland2 ⚽
Julia Zigiotti Olme2 ⚽
Andrea Medina2 ⚽
Cards Given
Birmingham CityOceane Hurtre2 🟨
Asato Miyagawa1 🟨
C. Effa Effa1 🟨
Lisa Naalsund1 🟨
Neve Grace Herron1 🟨
W. Leidhammar1 🟨
Manchester UnitedJulia Zigiotti Olme2 🟨
Andrea Medina2 🟨
Maya Le Tissier2 🟨
Simi Awujo2 🟨
Aana Sandberg2 🟨
Julia Zigiotti1 🟨