Mendrisio vs Locarno — 1. Liga Classic - Group 3
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Mendrisio and Locarno meet in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Mendrisio have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Locarno have won 0% of their 7 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Mendrisio and 1.07 for Locarno. The models give Mendrisio a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Locarno win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mendrisio | Home | Away | Locarno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 67% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 17% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Mendrisio | Home | Away | Locarno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 83% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 33% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 50% | 17% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 17% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mendrisio | Locarno | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 63% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mendrisio | Locarno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 71% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Mendrisio have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Mendrisio have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Mendrisio have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mendrisio failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Mendrisio's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Mendrisio's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Locarno have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Locarno have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Locarno have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.

