Locarno vs Freienbach — 1. Liga Classic - Group 3
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Locarno and Freienbach meet in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Locarno have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Freienbach have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Locarno and 0.89 for Freienbach. The models give Locarno a 52% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Freienbach win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Locarno | Home | Away | Freienbach | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 75% | 55% | 80% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 50% | 36% | 60% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 33% | 25% | 45% | 20% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Locarno | Home | Away | Freienbach | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 50% | 100% | 73% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 75% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 17% | 0% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Locarno | Freienbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS | 60% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Locarno | Freienbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 22 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Locarno have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Locarno have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Locarno have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●80% of Locarno's points have been earned at home.
- ●Freienbach have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Freienbach have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Freienbach's goals have been scored at home.