Barco vs Coruña — Tercera División RFEF - Group 1

Barco and Coruña meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Barco have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Coruña have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Barco and 1.24 for Coruña. The models give Barco a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Coruña win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.