Sarriana vs Celtiga — Tercera División RFEF - Group 1
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Sarriana and Celtiga meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Sarriana have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Celtiga have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Sarriana and 1.19 for Celtiga. The models give Sarriana a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Celtiga win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Sarriana
CeltigaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sarriana | Home | Away | Celtiga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 60% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarriana | Home | Away | Celtiga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarriana | Celtiga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarriana | Celtiga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarriana (H)
Pontevedra II3–1
Portonovo SD2–1
Arenteiro3–3
Celta de Vigo III3–2
Viveiro2–0
Racing Santander II3–4Celtiga (A)Arenteiro0–2Celta de Vigo III2–1Viveiro0–0
Villalbés2–3
Silva1–1
Arosa2–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boiro | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 | Sarriana | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 | Silva | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 |  Barco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Atlético Arteixo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Portonovo SD | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Estradense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 |  Lalin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Villalbés | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Pontevedra II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Antela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alondras | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Somozas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Celtiga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Arenteiro | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Coruña | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo III | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Viveiro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
Team Insights
Sarriana- ●Sarriana have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Sarriana have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sarriana have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sarriana failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Sarriana failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●72% of Sarriana's goals have been scored at home.
Celtiga- ●Celtiga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Celtiga have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Celtiga failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Celtiga have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
SarrianaPontevedra II3–1Lalin0–0Portonovo SD2–1Barco1–1Arenteiro3–3Somozas1–2Antela15/11Silva22/11Atlético Arteixo29/11CeltigaBarco1–1Arenteiro0–2Somozas1–1Celta de Vigo III2–1Alondras0–0Viveiro0–0Portonovo SD14/11Lalin22/11Pontevedra II29/11Top Scorers
SarrianaCeltigaCards Given
SarrianaCeltiga