Manchego vs Tarancón — Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
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Manchego and Tarancón meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Manchego have recorded 7 wins from 9 matches this season (78% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Tarancón have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Manchego and 1.28 for Tarancón. The models give Manchego a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tarancón win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Manchego—
Tarancón1º
Position
5º
2.33
PPG
1.67
78%
Win %
44%
1.56
Goals / game
1.78
0.78
Conceded / game
1.22
33%
BTTS %
67%
56%
Clean sheet %
11%
33%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Manchego
Home (5)
—
Tarancón
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
1.60
100%
Win %
40%
2.20
Goals / game
2.40
0.60
Conceded / game
1.60
40%
BTTS %
80%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
40%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Manchego | Home | Away | Tarancón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 0% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchego | Home | Away | Tarancón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 40% | 50% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 60% | 50% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchego | Tarancón | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS | 33% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchego | Tarancón | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 22% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchego (H)W
Illescas4–1
Illescas4–1W
Toledo1–0
Toledo1–0W
Almansa1–0
Almansa1–0W
Marchamalo3–2
Marchamalo3–2W
Villacañas2–0
Villacañas2–0W
Albacete II2–0
Albacete II2–0Tarancón (A)D
Noblejas2–2
Noblejas2–2W
Quintanar del Rey2–1
Quintanar del Rey2–1DMarchamalo2–2
Marchamalo2–2W
Guadalajara II6–2
Guadalajara II6–2L
Torrijos0–1
Torrijos0–1DManchego0–0
Manchego0–0Head to Head · 14 matches
4
Manchego
29%
6
Draws
43%
4
Tarancón
29%
57%
Over 1.5
8/14
29%
Over 2.5
4/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
36%
BTTS
5/14
23/05/26Manchego
Tarancón
0–1Manchego17/05/26Tarancón
Manchego
0–0Tarancón14/02/26Tarancón
Manchego
0–2Tarancón04/10/25Manchego
Tarancón
1–2Manchego11/05/25Manchego
Tarancón
2–2Manchego11/01/25Tarancón
Manchego
1–3Tarancón28/01/23Tarancón
Manchego
2–0Tarancón24/09/22Manchego
Tarancón
1–1Manchego19/03/22Manchego
Tarancón
0–0Manchego21/11/21Tarancón
Manchego
0–1Tarancón24/04/21Manchego
Tarancón
0–0Manchego04/04/21Tarancón
Manchego
0–1Tarancón29/02/20Manchego
Tarancón
0–4Manchego06/10/19Tarancón
Manchego
1–1Tarancón| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Toledo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Villacañas | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Villarrobledo | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Tarancón | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  CD Villa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Torrijos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Noblejas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Illescas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Almansa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Marchamalo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  San Clemente | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Villarrubia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  La Solana | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Socuéllamos | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Huracán Balazote | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Guadalajara II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 2 |
Team Insights
Manchego- ●Manchego have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Manchego have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Manchego have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Manchego have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●79% of Manchego's goals have been scored at home.
Tarancón- ●Tarancón have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Tarancón have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tarancón have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tarancón have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tarancón failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tarancón have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tarancón have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tarancón failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Tarancón's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Tarancón's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tarancón have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ManchegoWHIllescas4–1
Illescas4–1LAVillarrobledo0–1
Villarrobledo0–1WHToledo1–0
Toledo1–0LASan Clemente1–3
San Clemente1–3WHAlmansa1–0
Almansa1–0WHMarchamalo3–2
Marchamalo3–2–ATorrijos08/11
Torrijos08/11–HCD Villa15/11
CD Villa15/11–AGuadalajara II22/11
Guadalajara II22/11TarancónDANoblejas2–2
Noblejas2–2DHVillarrubia1–1
Villarrubia1–1WAQuintanar del Rey2–1
Quintanar del Rey2–1WHSocuéllamos1–0
Socuéllamos1–0DAMarchamalo2–2
Marchamalo2–2WAGuadalajara II6–2
Guadalajara II6–2–HLa Solana08/11
La Solana08/11–AVillacañas14/11
Villacañas14/11–HHuracán Balazote22/11
Huracán Balazote22/11Top Scorers
ManchegoA. Picazo4 ⚽
P. Haro2 ⚽
M. Rivera2 ⚽
2 ⚽
M. Valverde1 ⚽
A. Martin Benitez1 ⚽
TarancónI. Cabellud4 ⚽
Paulinho4 ⚽
M. Fizesan3 ⚽
Clovis2 ⚽
2 ⚽
J. Munoz1 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchego1 🟨
Tarancón1 🟨