Aurora vs Nacional Potosí — Primera División
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Aurora and Nacional Potosí meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Aurora have recorded 11 wins from 32 matches this season (34% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Nacional Potosí have won 41% of their 29 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.26 for Aurora and 1.52 for Nacional Potosí. The models give Aurora a 52% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nacional Potosí win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Aurora—
Nacional Potosí4º
Position
7º
1.82
PPG
1.36
45%
Win %
36%
1.73
Goals / game
1.55
1.18
Conceded / game
1.36
72%
BTTS %
48%
22%
Clean sheet %
31%
50%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.6
Avg corners
3.9
14.2
Avg shots
13.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.9
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.1
11.2
Avg fouls
9.5
53.8%
Avg possession
55.7%
Home vs Away
Aurora
Home (6)
—
Nacional Potosí
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.83
50%
Win %
17%
2.33
Goals / game
1.33
1.50
Conceded / game
1.50
80%
BTTS %
53%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
67%
Over 2.5 %
53%
4.6
Avg corners
3.9
14.2
Avg shots
13.4
5.2
Avg shots on target
4.9
3.0
Avg yellow cards
2.1
53.8%
Avg possession
55.7%
Goals Scored
| Aurora | Home | Away | Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 93% | 82% | 79% | 86% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 60% | 29% | 41% | 57% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 21% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 7% | 18% | 21% | 14% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Aurora | Home | Away | Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 76% | 69% | 57% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 47% | 35% | 38% | 21% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 21% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 20% | 24% | 31% | 43% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aurora | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS | 72% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aurora | Nacional Potosí | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 66% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Aurora (H)W
Universitario de Vinto4–2
Universitario de Vinto4–2W
Real Potosí1–0
Real Potosí1–0W
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0DReal Potosí0–0
Real Potosí0–0L
Bolívar2–4
Bolívar2–4W
ABB3–2
ABB3–2Nacional Potosí (A)DReal Potosí2–2
Real Potosí2–2WGualberto Villarroel SJ3–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0W
Real Oruro2–0
Real Oruro2–0LUniversitario de Vinto0–2
Universitario de Vinto0–2L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1–2L
Oriente Petrolero0–1
Oriente Petrolero0–1Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.2
82 games
7.5
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Aurora | Nacional Potosí | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 43% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 70% | 43% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 29% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 29% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 29% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 14% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 14% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aurora | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 36% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
6
Aurora
24%
8
Draws
32%
11
Nacional Potosí
44%
72%
Over 1.5
18/25
44%
Over 2.5
11/25
28%
Over 3.5
7/25
60%
BTTS
15/25
10/07/26Aurora
Nacional Potosí
2–0Aurora27/09/25Nacional Potosí
Aurora
1–2Nacional Potosí16/05/25Aurora
Nacional Potosí
3–1Aurora17/12/24Nacional Potosí
Aurora
1–1Nacional Potosí14/09/24Aurora
Nacional Potosí
1–3Aurora12/03/24Nacional Potosí
Aurora
4–1Nacional Potosí03/03/24Aurora
Nacional Potosí
1–0Aurora22/07/23Aurora
Nacional Potosí
0–0Aurora19/02/23Nacional Potosí
Aurora
2–0Nacional Potosí09/09/22Nacional Potosí
Aurora
1–5Nacional Potosí03/07/22Aurora
Nacional Potosí
3–1Aurora15/05/22Nacional Potosí
Aurora
2–3Nacional Potosí01/04/22Aurora
Nacional Potosí
2–1Aurora31/10/21Aurora
Nacional Potosí
0–0Aurora20/07/21Nacional Potosí
Aurora
0–0Nacional Potosí19/12/20Nacional Potosí
Aurora
1–1Nacional Potosí23/02/20Aurora
Nacional Potosí
2–1Aurora27/11/19Nacional Potosí
Aurora
1–1Nacional Potosí28/07/19Aurora
Nacional Potosí
3–2Aurora21/04/19Aurora
Nacional Potosí
0–1Aurora| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | +34 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolívar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | +32 | 45 |
| 3 |  The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | +13 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | +4 | 30 |
| 7 |  Guabirá | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | +8 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosí | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | +2 | 27 |
| 10 |  Independiente Petrolero | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | ABB | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -14 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -19 | 20 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -13 | 18 |
| 15 |  Real Tomayapo | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -24 | 16 |
| 16 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -16 | 14 |
Team Insights
Aurora- ●Aurora have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Aurora have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Aurora failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Aurora have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
Nacional Potosí- ●Nacional Potosí have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have lost 6 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
Season Schedule
AuroraLAGuabirá1–3
Guabirá1–3WASan Antonio Bulo Bulo2–0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo2–0WHGualberto Villarroel SJ3–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0DAAlways Ready2–2
Always Ready2–2DHReal Potosí0–0
Real Potosí0–0LABlooming0–3
Blooming0–3–HNacional Potosí11/10
Nacional Potosí11/10–AReal Oruro17/10
Real Oruro17/10Nacional PotosíLHAlways Ready0–4
Always Ready0–4WAGualberto Villarroel SJ3–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0WHBlooming2–1
Blooming2–1LAUniversitario de Vinto0–2
Universitario de Vinto0–2WHIndependiente Petrolero3–0
Independiente Petrolero3–0WHABB2–0
ABB2–0–AAurora11/10
Aurora11/10–HBolívar18/10
Bolívar18/10Top Scorers
AuroraR. Ramallo7 ⚽
L. Viviani5 ⚽
M. Ortiz5 ⚽
M. Rangel3 ⚽
A. Terrazas3 ⚽
E. Sanchez2 ⚽
Nacional PotosíW. Alvarez6 ⚽
A. Torrico5 ⚽
D. Villalba5 ⚽
S. Pena4 ⚽
T. Tobar4 ⚽
M. Tomianovic3 ⚽
Cards Given
AuroraL. Barboza6 🟨
R. Ramallo5 🟨
A. Amarilla5 🟨
Iván Vidaurre5 🟨
L. Barro4 🟨
Alfredo Amarilla4 🟨
Nacional PotosíLuis Demiquel6 🟨
D. Hoyos5 🟨
Maximiliano Nuñez4 🟨
E. Villegas3 🟨
L. Zeballos3 🟨
M. Nunez3 🟨