Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar — Primera División
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Nacional Potosí and Bolívar meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Nacional Potosí have recorded 15 wins from 35 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Bolívar have won 58% of their 48 matches, with 2.19 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Nacional Potosí and 1.47 for Bolívar. The models give Nacional Potosí a 38% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Bolívar win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Nacional Potosí—
Bolívar7º
Position
3º
1.36
PPG
1.91
36%
Win %
55%
1.55
Goals / game
2.36
1.36
Conceded / game
1.00
49%
BTTS %
71%
31%
Clean sheet %
25%
51%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.9
Avg corners
5.6
13.8
Avg shots
18.5
5.1
Avg shots on target
6.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.5
9.8
Avg fouls
9.6
54.8%
Avg possession
59.6%
Home vs Away
Nacional Potosí
Home (5)
—
Bolívar
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.60
60%
Win %
40%
1.80
Goals / game
1.40
1.20
Conceded / game
1.00
35%
BTTS %
67%
47%
Clean sheet %
25%
47%
Over 2.5 %
54%
3.9
Avg corners
5.6
13.8
Avg shots
18.5
5.1
Avg shots on target
6.9
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.5
54.8%
Avg possession
59.6%
Goals Scored
| Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | Bolívar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 82% | 78% | 92% | 96% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 59% | 33% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 24% | 17% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 18% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Nacional Potosí | Home | Away | Bolívar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 53% | 83% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 18% | 56% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 47% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nacional Potosí | Bolívar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS | 49% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nacional Potosí | Bolívar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 66% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Nacional Potosí (H)W
Real Oruro2–0
Real Oruro2–0W
Always Ready9–0
Always Ready9–0L
Real Potosí0–1
Real Potosí0–1LAlways Ready0–4
Always Ready0–4W
Blooming2–1
Blooming2–1W
Real Tomayapo5–1
Real Tomayapo5–1Bolívar (A)DBlooming1–1
Blooming1–1W
Independiente Petrolero3–0
Independiente Petrolero3–0D
The Strongest1–1
The Strongest1–1WReal Tomayapo2–1
Real Tomayapo2–1WIndependiente Petrolero4–0
Independiente Petrolero4–0W
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1–0Number of Corners
8.1
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
9.5
90 games
8.8
Corners / Match
21 games
| Match Corners | Nacional Potosí | Bolívar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 47% | 71% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 47% | 57% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 48% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 38% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 29% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 19% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 5% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nacional Potosí | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 24% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
6
Nacional Potosí
24%
5
Draws
20%
14
Bolívar
56%
92%
Over 1.5
23/25
64%
Over 2.5
16/25
36%
Over 3.5
9/25
72%
BTTS
18/25
14/05/26Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1–1Nacional Potosí22/12/25Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1–4Nacional Potosí20/12/25Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
0–2Bolívar05/12/25Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
5–2Nacional Potosí10/07/25Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
2–1Nacional Potosí29/06/25Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
1–1Bolívar26/06/25Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
3–0Bolívar24/11/24Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
5–3Nacional Potosí28/07/24Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
2–1Bolívar21/10/23Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
4–3Nacional Potosí30/04/23Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
3–2Bolívar15/10/22Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
3–1Nacional Potosí07/08/22Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
2–1Bolívar28/10/21Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
4–2Nacional Potosí11/08/21Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
1–1Bolívar09/12/20Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
1–1Bolívar02/02/20Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
4–0Nacional Potosí22/12/19Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
2–1Nacional Potosí15/09/19Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
0–3Bolívar13/04/19Bolívar
Nacional Potosí
0–1Bolívar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +33 | 48 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | +34 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | +16 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +14 | 35 |
| 5 |  Oriente Petrolero | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +10 | 33 |
| 6 |  Aurora | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | +4 | 31 |
| 7 |  Guabirá | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 29 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosí | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +2 | 28 |
| 9 | Blooming | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | +7 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 |  ABB | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 |  Universitario de Vinto | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -13 | 17 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -24 | 17 |
Team Insights
Nacional Potosí- ●Nacional Potosí have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have scored in 9 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Nacional Potosí have scored in 9 of their 11 away matches.
Bolívar- ●Bolívar have won their last 9 matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Bolívar have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bolívar failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in 11 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Bolívar failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have won 6 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Bolívar have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●62% of Bolívar's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Nacional PotosíDAAurora2–2
Aurora2–2LHAlways Ready0–4
Always Ready0–4WAGualberto Villarroel SJ3–0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ3–0WHBlooming2–1
Blooming2–1LAUniversitario de Vinto0–2
Universitario de Vinto0–2WHIndependiente Petrolero3–0
Independiente Petrolero3–0–HBolívar18/10
Bolívar18/10–HGuabirá26/10
Guabirá26/10–AReal Oruro31/10
Real Oruro31/10BolívarWHBlooming1–0
Blooming1–0WHGualberto Villarroel SJ4–2
Gualberto Villarroel SJ4–2WAReal Tomayapo2–1
Real Tomayapo2–1WAIndependiente Petrolero4–0
Independiente Petrolero4–0WHABB4–1
ABB4–1WAReal Oruro4–2
Real Oruro4–2–ANacional Potosí18/10
Nacional Potosí18/10–HUniversitario de Vinto27/10
Universitario de Vinto27/10–AGuabirá01/11
Guabirá01/11Top Scorers
Nacional PotosíD. Villalba9 ⚽
W. Alvarez8 ⚽
T. Tobar6 ⚽
M. Tomianovic5 ⚽
A. Torrico5 ⚽
S. Pena5 ⚽
BolívarM. Cauteruccio17 ⚽
Robson Matheus12 ⚽
D. Romero9 ⚽
D. Asprilla9 ⚽
7 ⚽
J. Velasquez6 ⚽
Cards Given
Nacional PotosíD. Hoyos6 🟨
Luis Demiquel6 🟨
Weslen Junior5 🟨
P. Azogue4 🟨
M. Nunez4 🟨
Maximiliano Nuñez4 🟨
BolívarJ. Sagredo11 🟨
L. Justiniano6 🟨
Pato Rodriguez4 🟨
Leonel Justiniano4 🟨
José Sagredo3 🟨
E. Vaca Moreno3 🟨