Mara Sugar vs Kenya Police — FKF Premier League
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Mara Sugar and Kenya Police meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 26 November 2026. Mara Sugar have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Kenya Police have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.06 for Mara Sugar and 0.85 for Kenya Police. The models give Mara Sugar a 41% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Kenya Police win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Mara SugarKenya PoliceHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mara Sugar | Home | Away | Kenya Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Mara Sugar | Home | Away | Kenya Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mara Sugar | Kenya Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mara Sugar | Kenya Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Mara Sugar (H)
Migori Youth2–1
AFC Leopards0–0
Mombasa Elite2–1
GOR Mahia0–0
Mathare United0–1
Shabana1–0Kenya Police (A)
Homeboyz2–2Shabana1–0Mombasa Elite0–0Migori Youth1–1
Bandari0–1
Bidco United1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Kenya Police | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 | Mara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bandari | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mara Sugar- ●Mara Sugar have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●78% of Mara Sugar's points have been earned at home.
Kenya Police- ●Kenya Police have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kenya Police have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Kenya Police's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Mara SugarMigori Youth2–1Tusker1–3AFC Leopards0–0Ulinzi Stars0–0Mombasa Elite2–13K2–2Shabana22/11Kenya Police26/11Homeboyz30/11Kenya PoliceHomeboyz2–2Shabana1–0Ulinzi Stars1–0Mombasa Elite0–0AFC Leopards1–2Migori Youth1–1Posta Rangers FC15/11APS Bomet21/11Mara Sugar26/11Top Scorers
Mara SugarKenya Police