Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards — FKF Premier League
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Ulinzi Stars and AFC Leopards meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Ulinzi Stars have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. AFC Leopards have won 40% of their 5 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 80%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.95 for Ulinzi Stars and 0.93 for AFC Leopards. The models give Ulinzi Stars a 32% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an AFC Leopards win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Ulinzi StarsAFC LeopardsHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ulinzi Stars | Home | Away | AFC Leopards | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Ulinzi Stars | Home | Away | AFC Leopards | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 33% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ulinzi Stars | AFC Leopards | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 43% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ulinzi Stars | AFC Leopards | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 80% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 14% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Ulinzi Stars (H)
Mathare United2–1
Mara Sugar0–0
Tusker0–2Tusker2–0Mathare United2–1AFC Leopards0–2AFC Leopards (A)Mara Sugar0–0
Kenya Police2–1
APS Bomet1–2
Homeboyz2–1Ulinzi Stars2–0
Murang'a SEAL2–0Head to Head · 31 matches
AFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsUlinzi StarsAFC LeopardsAFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsAFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsAFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsUlinzi StarsAFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsAFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsAFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsAFC LeopardsUlinzi StarsAFC Leopards| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Kenya Police | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 |  3K | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Murang'a SEAL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Migori Youth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Posta Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ulinzi Stars—
AFC Leopards- ●AFC Leopards have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●AFC Leopards have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●AFC Leopards have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●AFC Leopards have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
Ulinzi StarsMathare United2–1Kenya Police0–1Mara Sugar0–0Homeboyz1–1Tusker0–2Murang'a SEAL08/11Migori Youth14/11Mombasa Elite21/11AFC LeopardsHomeboyz2–0Mara Sugar0–0Shabana0–0Kenya Police2–1Bandari0–03K07/11Mombasa Elite14/11Migori Youth21/11Top Scorers
Ulinzi StarsAFC Leopards