Cumbayá vs El Nacional — Liga Pro Serie B
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Cumbayá and El Nacional meet in the Liga Pro Serie B 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Cumbayá have recorded 6 wins from 26 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. El Nacional have won 12% of their 26 matches, with 0.69 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Cumbayá and 0.96 for El Nacional. The models give Cumbayá a 54% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an El Nacional win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
CumbayáEl NacionalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cumbayá | Home | Away | El Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 62% | 54% | 54% | 46% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 38% | 46% | 46% | 54% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Cumbayá | Home | Away | El Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 62% | 62% | 85% | 69% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 23% | 31% | 42% | 23% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 15% | 8% | 15% | 0% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 38% | 38% | 15% | 31% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 77% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 12% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 4% |
| BTTS | 42% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cumbayá | El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 58% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Cumbayá (H)
Gualaceo SC0–1
LDU Portoviejo0–0
Santo Domingo3–3
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors0–0
9 de Octubre0–0
22 de Julio4–0El Nacional (A)Santo Domingo0–1Gualaceo SC0–3
Ind. Juniors1–122 de Julio3–1
Cuniburo1–2
Atletico FC0–3Head to Head · 10 matches
CumbayáEl NacionalCumbayáEl NacionalCumbayáEl NacionalEl NacionalCumbayáEl NacionalCumbayá| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 | Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Cuniburo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 |  San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 12 |
Team Insights
Cumbayá- ●Cumbayá have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cumbayá have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
El Nacional- ●El Nacional have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●El Nacional have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 away matches.
- ●El Nacional have lost 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●68% of El Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●El Nacional have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Cumbayá22 de Julio7–1Gualaceo SC0–1Santo Domingo1–2LDU Portoviejo0–0Atletico FC0–3Santo Domingo3–3El Nacional26/09Santo Domingo01/10Gualaceo SC07/10El NacionalSanto Domingo0–122 de Julio3–0LDU Portoviejo0–2Gualaceo SC0–3Ind. Juniors1–1San Antonio0–1Cumbayá26/09LDU Portoviejo03/1022 de Julio07/10Top Scorers
CumbayáEl NacionalCards Given
CumbayáEl Nacional