El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC — Liga Pro Serie B
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El Nacional and Gualaceo SC meet in the Liga Pro Serie B 2026 season on 28 October 2026. El Nacional have recorded 4 wins from 29 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Gualaceo SC have won 39% of their 28 matches, with 1.04 goals scored and 0.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 54%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.80 for El Nacional and 0.89 for Gualaceo SC. The models give El Nacional a 27% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Gualaceo SC win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 24% and BTTS at 32%.
Season Statistics
El Nacional—
Gualaceo SC12º
Position
7º
0.55
PPG
1.32
9%
Win %
32%
0.68
Goals / game
0.86
1.45
Conceded / game
0.73
48%
BTTS %
32%
14%
Clean sheet %
54%
48%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
El Nacional
Home (11)
—
Gualaceo SC
Away (11)
0.64
PPG
1.00
9%
Win %
18%
0.45
Goals / game
0.82
0.91
Conceded / game
0.91
29%
BTTS %
38%
29%
Clean sheet %
46%
29%
Over 2.5 %
31%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| El Nacional | Home | Away | Gualaceo SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 43% | 67% | 64% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 7% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 7% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 57% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| El Nacional | Home | Away | Gualaceo SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 71% | 100% | 46% | 40% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 29% | 67% | 18% | 13% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 7% | 33% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 29% | 0% | 54% | 60% | 46% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| El Nacional | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS | 48% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 34% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| El Nacional | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 59% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 66% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
El Nacional (H)L
Cumbayá0–3
Cumbayá0–3W
22 de Julio3–0
22 de Julio3–0L
LDU Portoviejo0–2
LDU Portoviejo0–2L
San Antonio0–1
San Antonio0–1W
9 de Octubre1–0
9 de Octubre1–0DGualaceo SC0–0
Gualaceo SC0–0Gualaceo SC (A)W
Santo Domingo1–0
Santo Domingo1–0WCumbayá1–0
Cumbayá1–0W
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors3–0
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors3–0LSan Antonio1–2
San Antonio1–2DEl Nacional0–0
El Nacional0–0D9 de Octubre0–0
9 de Octubre0–0Head to Head · 9 matches
3
El Nacional
33%
2
Draws
22%
4
Gualaceo SC
44%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
44%
Over 2.5
4/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
29/08/26El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
3–0El Nacional24/07/26Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
0–0Gualaceo SC02/05/26El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
2–0El Nacional12/11/23Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
4–2Gualaceo SC04/06/23El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
3–4El Nacional07/10/21Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
4–2Gualaceo SC11/08/21El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
1–0El Nacional17/06/21Gualaceo SC
El Nacional
1–1Gualaceo SC06/05/21El Nacional
Gualaceo SC
1–0El Nacional| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ind. Juniors | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | +12 | 39 |
| 2 |  Atletico FC | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 | 9 de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 |  Cuniburo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | +8 | 31 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Santo Domingo | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | +1 | 28 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 | Cumbayá | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 15 |
| 12 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | -17 | 12 |
Team Insights
El Nacional- ●El Nacional have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 15 away matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●El Nacional have lost 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●El Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 15 away matches.
- ●El Nacional have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●68% of El Nacional's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of El Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●El Nacional have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Gualaceo SC- ●Gualaceo SC have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Gualaceo SC have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 away matches.
- ●62% of Gualaceo SC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
El NacionalWA22 de Julio5–2
22 de Julio5–2LALDU Portoviejo2–3
LDU Portoviejo2–3LHCumbayá0–3
Cumbayá0–3LASanto Domingo0–1
Santo Domingo0–1WH22 de Julio3–0
22 de Julio3–0LHLDU Portoviejo0–2
LDU Portoviejo0–2–HSanto Domingo17/10
Santo Domingo17/10–ACumbayá21/10
Cumbayá21/10–HGualaceo SC28/10
Gualaceo SC28/10Gualaceo SCDHCumbayá1–1
Cumbayá1–1WH22 de Julio4–2
22 de Julio4–2WASanto Domingo1–0
Santo Domingo1–0DHLDU Portoviejo0–0
LDU Portoviejo0–0WACumbayá1–0
Cumbayá1–0WHEl Nacional3–0
El Nacional3–0–ALDU Portoviejo17/10
LDU Portoviejo17/10–HSanto Domingo21/10
Santo Domingo21/10–AEl Nacional28/10
El Nacional28/10Top Scorers
El Nacional10 ⚽
J. Borja4 ⚽
F. Borja3 ⚽
L. Benalcazar2 ⚽
J. Quintero1 ⚽
T. Lara1 ⚽
Gualaceo SC11 ⚽
R. Salazar2 ⚽
Allyson2 ⚽
F. Allauca2 ⚽
J. Coime2 ⚽
J. Penarrieta2 ⚽
Cards Given
El Nacional6 🟨
Gualaceo SC5 🟨