Esteghlal FC vs Shams Azar Qazvin — Persian Gulf Pro League
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Imam Reza Stadium·Mashhad·Iran·25,000
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Esteghlal FC and Shams Azar Qazvin meet in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Esteghlal FC have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 13% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 88% of games. Shams Azar Qazvin have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Esteghlal FC and 0.67 for Shams Azar Qazvin. The models give Esteghlal FC a 55% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Shams Azar Qazvin win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 28% and BTTS at 34%.
Season Statistics
Esteghlal FC—
Shams Azar Qazvin2º
Position
16º
2.14
PPG
0.71
57%
Win %
14%
1.29
Goals / game
0.86
0.14
Conceded / game
1.29
13%
BTTS %
43%
88%
Clean sheet %
29%
25%
Over 2.5 %
29%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
9.0
Avg fouls
0.0
26.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Esteghlal FC
Home (4)
—
Shams Azar Qazvin
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
1.33
75%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.25
Conceded / game
0.67
20%
BTTS %
33%
80%
Clean sheet %
33%
40%
Over 2.5 %
0%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
9.0
Avg shots
0.0
7.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
26.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | Shams Azar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 33% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 60% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 67% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | Shams Azar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 0% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 88% | 80% | 100% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Esteghlal FC | Shams Azar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS | 13% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Esteghlal FC | Shams Azar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 13% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 38% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Esteghlal FC (H)W
Al Sadd3–0
Al Sadd3–0W
Paykan1–0
Paykan1–0D
Persepolis FC1–1
Persepolis FC1–1W
Sepahan FC2–0
Sepahan FC2–0W
Mes Shahr-e Babak4–0
Mes Shahr-e Babak4–0W
Fajr Sepasi2–1
Fajr Sepasi2–1Shams Azar (A)L
Chadormalu SC0–1
Chadormalu SC0–1W
Nassaji Mazandaran2–0
Nassaji Mazandaran2–0D
Foolad FC1–1
Foolad FC1–1LFajr Sepasi0–1
Fajr Sepasi0–1LEsteghlal FC2–3
Esteghlal FC2–3WPaykan1–0
Paykan1–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Esteghlal FC | Shams Azar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Esteghlal FC
57%
2
Draws
29%
1
Shams Azar
14%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
86%
BTTS
6/7
05/02/26Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal FC
3–2Shams Azar Qazvin26/09/25Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
1–1Esteghlal FC13/02/25Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
1–2Esteghlal FC20/01/25Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal FC
0–1Shams Azar Qazvin16/08/24Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
1–2Esteghlal FC19/04/24Shams Azar Qazvin
Esteghlal FC
3–2Shams Azar Qazvin02/11/23Esteghlal FC
Shams Azar Qazvin
2–2Esteghlal FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tractor Sazi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 |  Aluminium Arak | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Sepahan FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Gol Gohar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Foolad FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Chadormalu SC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Fajr Sepasi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  Malavan | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  ZOB Ahan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Esteghlal Khuzestan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Sanat Naft | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
Team Insights
Esteghlal FC- ●Esteghlal FC have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●89% of Esteghlal FC's goals have been scored at home.
Shams Azar- ●Shams Azar Qazvin have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Shams Azar Qazvin have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Shams Azar Qazvin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Shams Azar Qazvin have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Esteghlal FCWHPaykan1–0
Paykan1–0DAAluminium Arak0–0
Aluminium Arak0–0DHPersepolis FC1–1
Persepolis FC1–1DAFoolad FC0–0
Foolad FC0–0WHSepahan FC2–0
Sepahan FC2–0WANassaji Mazandaran1–0
Nassaji Mazandaran1–0–ATractor Sazi08/10
Tractor Sazi08/10–HGol Gohar18/10
Gol Gohar18/10–AChadormalu SC22/10
Chadormalu SC22/10Shams AzarLHGol Gohar2–3
Gol Gohar2–3LAChadormalu SC0–1
Chadormalu SC0–1DHTractor Sazi0–0
Tractor Sazi0–0WANassaji Mazandaran2–0
Nassaji Mazandaran2–0LHAluminium Arak1–2
Aluminium Arak1–2DAFoolad FC1–1
Foolad FC1–1–APaykan10/10
Paykan10/10–HSepahan FC18/10
Sepahan FC18/10–AEsteghlal Khuzestan25/10
Esteghlal Khuzestan25/10Top Scorers
Esteghlal FCJ. Asani4 ⚽
E. Gholizadeh3 ⚽
S. Saharkhizan3 ⚽
M. Azadi1 ⚽
M. Eslami1 ⚽
Shams AzarM. Sourgi2 ⚽
R. Mohammadi2 ⚽
A. A. Chegini1 ⚽
M. Mamizadeh1 ⚽
Cards Given
Esteghlal FCA. Koushki2 🟨
S. Hardani2 🟨
A. Razzaghinia2 🟨
A. Aghasi2 🟨
H. Goudarzi2 🟨
E. Gholizadeh1 🟨
Shams AzarS. M. Hosseini2 🟨
A. Mohkamkar2 🟨
A. Jelokhani Niaraki1 🟨
R. Mohammadi1 🟨
S. Moazemitabar1 🟨
M. Sourgi1 🟨